Blueprint
United States
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 20-F
☐ REGISTRATION STATEMENT PURSUANT TO
SECTION 12(b) OR (g) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF
1934
OR
☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR
15 (d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended June 30, 2018
OR
☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13
OR 15 (d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
OR
☐ SHELL COMPANY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION
13 OR 15 (d) OF THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE ACT OF
1934
Date of event requiring this shell company report ___
For the transition period from ____ to ____
Commission file number 001-13542
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad
Anónima
(Exact
name of Registrant as specified in its charter)
IRSA Investments and Representations Inc.
(Translation
of Registrant’s name into English)
Republic of Argentina
(country
of incorporation or organization)
Bolívar 108
(C1066AAD)
Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
(Address of principal executive offices)
Matías Iván Gaivironsky - Chief Financial and
Administrative Officer
Tel +54(11) 4323-7449 - ir@irsa.com.ar
Moreno 877 24th Floor (C1091AAQ) - Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos
Aires, Argentina
(Name,
Telephone, E-mail and/or address of Company Contact
Person)
Securities
registered or to be registered pursuant to Section 12 (b) of the
Act
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Title
of each class
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Name of
each exchange on which registered
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Global
Depositary Shares, each representing ten shares of Common
Stock
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New
York Stock Exchange
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Common
Stock, par value Ps.1.00 per share
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New
York Stock Exchange*
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*Not
for trading, but only in connection with the registration of Global
Depositary Shares, pursuant to the requirements of the Securities
and Exchange Commission.
Securities
registered or to be registered pursuant to Section 12 (g) of the
Act: None
Securities
for which there is a reporting obligation pursuant to Section 15
(d) of the Act: None
Indicate
the number of outstanding shares of each of the issuer’s
classes of capital or common stock as of the period covered by the
annual report: 578,676,460.
Indicate
by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as
defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act:
☐ Yes ☒ No
If this
report is an annual or transition report, indicate by check mark if
the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section
13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
☒ Yes ☐ No
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports
required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities and
Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or of such
shorter period that the registrant was required to file such
reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for
the past 90 days: ☒ Yes ☐ No
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically
and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive
Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405
of the Regulation S-T (232.405 of this chapter) during the
preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant
was required to submit and post such
files). ☐
Yes ☒No
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer,
an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or an emerging
growth company. See definition of “accelerated filer and
large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
(check one):
Large
accelerated filer ☐ Accelerated filer ☒ Non-accelerated filer ☐ Emerging growth company ☐
If
an emerging growth company that prepares its financial statements
in accordance with U.S. GAAP, indicate by check mark if the
registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period
for complying with any new or revised financial accounting
standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
☐
The
term “new or revised financial accounting standard”
refers to any update issued by the Financial Accounting Standards
Board to its Accounting Standards Codification after April 5,
2012.
Indicate
by check mark which basis of accounting the registrant has used to
prepare the financial statements included in this
filing:
U.S.
GAAP ☐
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International
Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International
Accounting statements included in this filing: ☒
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Other
☐
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If
“Other” has been checked in response to the previous
question, indicate by check mark which financial statement item the
registrant has elected to follow:
Item 17
☐ Item 18 ☐
If this
is an annual report, indicate by check mark whether the registrant
is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange
Act):
☐ Yes ☒ No
(APPLICABLE
ONLY TO ISSUERS INVOLVED IN BANKRUPTCY PROCEEDINGS DURING THE PAST
FIVE YEARS)
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant has filed all documents and
reports required to be filed by Sections 12, 23 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 subsequent to the distribution of
securities under a plan confirmed by the court. Yes ☐ No ☐
Please send copies of notices and communications from the
Securities and Exchange Commission to:
Carolina
Zang
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David
Williams
Jaime
Mercado
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Zang
Vergel & Viñes
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Simpson
Thacher & Bartlett LLP
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Florida
537 piso 18º
C1005AAK Buenos
Aires, Argentina.
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425
Lexington Avenue
New
York, NY 10017
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IRSA
INVERSIONES Y REPRESENTACIONES SOCIEDAD
ANÓNIMA
Table
of Contents
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Page number
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DISCLAIMER REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
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i
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PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL AND CERTAIN OTHER
INFORMATION
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ii
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PART I
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1
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ITEM 1. Identity of Directors, Senior Management, Advisers and
auditors
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1
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ITEM 2. Offer Statistics and Expected Timetable
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1
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ITEM 3. Key Information
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1
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A. Selected consolidated financial data
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*
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B. Capitalization and Indebtedness
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7
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C. Reasons for the Offer and Use of Proceeds
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7
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D. Risk Factors
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7
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ITEM 4. Information on the Company
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61
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A. History and Development of the Company
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61
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B. Business Overview
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70
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C. Organizational Structure
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139
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D. Property, Plant and Equipment
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141
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ITEM 4A. Unresolved staff comments
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143
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ITEM 5. Operating and Financial Review and
Prospects
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143
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A. Operating Results
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143
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B. Liquidity and capital resources
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193
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C. Research and Development, Patents and Licenses,
etc.
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199
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D. Trend Information
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200
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E. Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
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202
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F. Tabular Disclosure of Contractual Obligations
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202
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G. Safe Harbor
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202
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ITEM 6. Directors, Senior Management and Employees
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203
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A. Directors and Senior Management
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203
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B. Compensation
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209
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C. Board practices
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211
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D. Employees
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211
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E. Share Ownership
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212
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ITEM 7. Major Shareholders and Related Party
Transactions
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214
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A. Major Shareholders
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214
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B. Related Party Transactions
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215
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C. Interests of Experts and Counsel
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219
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ITEM 8. Financial Information
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219
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A. Consolidated Statements and Other Financial
Information
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219
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B. Significant changes
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228
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ITEM 9. The Offer and Listing
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228
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A. The offer and listing details
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228
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B. Plan of Distribution
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229
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C. Markets
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230
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D. Selling Shareholders
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232
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E. Dilution
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232
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F. Expenses of the Issue
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232
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ITEM 10. Additional Information
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232
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A. Share Capital
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232
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B. Memorandum and Articles of Association
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232
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C. Material Contracts
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238
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D. Exchange Controls
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238
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E. Taxation
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242
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F. Dividends and Paying Agents
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249
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G. Statement by Experts
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249
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H. Documents on Display
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249
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I. Subsidiary Information
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250
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ITEM 11. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market
Risk
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250
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ITEM 12. Description of Securities Other than Equity
Securities
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250
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A. Debt Securities
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250
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B. Warrants and Rights
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250
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C. Other Securities
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250
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D. American Depositary Shares
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250
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PART II
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252
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ITEM 13. Defaults, Dividend Arrearages and
Delinquencies
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252
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ITEM 14. Material Modifications to the Rights of Security Holders
and Use of Proceeds
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252
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A. Fair Price Provision
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252
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ITEM 15. Controls and procedures
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253
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A. Disclosure Controls and Procedures.
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253
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B. Management’s Annual Report on Internal Control Over
Financial Reporting
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254
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C. Attestation Report of the Registered Public Accounting
Firm
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254
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D. Changes in Internal Control Over Financial
Reporting
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254
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ITEM 16. Reserved
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254
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A. Audit Committee Financial Expert
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254
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B. Code of Ethics
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255
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C. Principal Accountant Fees and Services.
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255
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D. Exemption from the Listing Standards for Audit
Committees
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256
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H. Mine Safety Disclosures
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257
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PART III
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258
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ITEM 17. Financial Statements
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258
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ITEM 18. Financial Statements
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258
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ITEM 19. Exhibits
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258
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DISCLAIMER REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This
annual report includes forward-looking statements, principally
under “Item 3.D. Risk Factors,”
“Item 4. Information on the Company,” and
“Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and
Prospects.” We have based these forward-looking statements
largely on our current beliefs, expectations and projections about
future events and financial trends affecting our business. Many
important factors, in addition to those discussed elsewhere in this
annual report, could cause our actual results to differ
substantially from those anticipated in our forward-looking
statements, including, among other things:
Factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely
include but are not limited to:
● changes in
general economic, financial, business, political, legal, social or
other conditions in Argentina or elsewhere in Latin America or in
Israel or changes in developed or emerging markets;
● changes in
capital markets in general that may affect policies or attitudes
toward lending to or investing in Argentina or Argentine companies,
including volatility in domestic and international financial
markets;
●
deterioration in regional, national and international business and
economic conditions;
●
inflation;
●
fluctuations in prevailing interest rates;
● increases
in financing costs or our inability to obtain additional financing
on attractive terms, which may limit our ability to fund existing
operations and to finance new activities;
● current and
future government regulation and changes in law or in the
interpretation by Argentine courts of the recently adopted Civil
and Commercial Code, among others;
● adverse
legal or regulatory disputes or proceedings;
●
fluctuations and declines in the aggregate principal amount of
Argentine public debt outstanding;
● political
events, civil strife and armed conflicts;
● government
intervention in the private sector and in the economy, including
through nationalization, expropriation, regulation or other
actions;
●
restrictions on transfer of foreign currencies and other exchange
controls;
● increased
competition in the shopping mall sector, office or other commercial
properties and related industries;
● potential
loss of significant tenants at our shopping malls, offices and/ or
other commercial properties;
● our ability
to timely transact in the real estate market in Argentina or
Israel;
● our ability
to meet our debt obligations;
● shifts in
consumer purchasing habits and trends;
●
technological changes and our potential inability to implement new
technologies;
●
deterioration in regional and national businesses and economic
conditions in Argentina;
● incidents
of government corruption that adversely impact on the development
of real estate projects;
●
fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Peso and the NIS against
other currencies;
● risks
related to our investment in Israel; and
● the risk
factors discussed under “Item 3.D. Risk
Factors.”
You can
identify forward-looking statements because they contain words such
as “believes,” “expects,”
“may,” “will,” “should,”
“seeks,” “intends,” “plans,”
“estimates,” “anticipates,”
“could,” “target,” “projects,”
“contemplates,” “potential,”
“continue” or similar expressions. Forward-looking
statements include information concerning our possible or assumed
future results of operations, business strategies, financing plans,
competitive position, industry environment, potential growth
opportunities, the effects of future regulation and the effects of
competition. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date
they were made, and we undertake no obligation to
update publicly or to revise any forward-looking statements after
we distribute this annual report because of new information, future
events or other factors. In light of the risks and uncertainties
described above, the forward-looking events and circumstances
discussed in this annual report might not occur and are not
guarantees of future performance.
As of
June 30, 2018, the Company has two operations centers to manage its
global business, which we refer to in this annual report as the
“Operations Center in Argentina” and the
“Operations Center in Israel.”
You
should not place undue reliance on such statements which speak only
as of the date that they were made. These cautionary statements
should be considered in connection with any written or oral
forward-looking statements that we might issue in the
future.
Available information
We file
annual, quarterly and other information with the United States
Securities and Exchange Comission or “SEC”. You may
read and copy any document that we file with the SEC at the
SEC´s public reference rooms at 450 Fifth Street, N.W.,
Washington, D.C. 20549; and 500 West Madison Street, Suite 1400,
Chicago, Illinois 60661 and www.sec.gov. You may obtain
information on the operation of the Public Reference Rooms by
calling the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330. Our Internet address is
http://www.irsa.com.ar. The
information contained on this website does not form part of this
annual report on form 20-F.
You may
request a copy of these filings at no cost, by writing or calling
our offices, Bolivar 108, (C1066AAB) City of Buenos Aires,
Argentina. Our telephone number is +54-11-4323-7400.
PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL AND CERTAIN OTHER
INFORMATION
The
terms “Argentine government” and
“government” refer to the federal government of
Argentina, the term “Central Bank” refers to the
Banco Central de la República
Argentina (the Argentine Central Bank), the terms
“CNV” and “CNV Rules” refers to the
Comisión Nacional de
Valores (the Argentine National Securities Commission) and
the rules issued by the CNV, respectively. In this annual report,
when we refer to “Peso,” “Pesos” or
“Ps.” we mean Argentine Pesos, the legal currency of
Argentina; when we refer to “U.S. dollar,” “U.S.
dollars” or “US$” we mean United States dollars,
the legal currency of the United States; when we refer to
“NIS” we mean Israeli New Shekel.
As used
throughout this annual report, the terms “IRSA,” the
“Company,” “we,” “us” and
“our” refer to IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones
Sociedad Anónima,
together with our consolidated subsidiaries, except where we make
clear that such terms refer only to the parent
company.
Financial Statements
This
annual report contains our Audited Consolidated Financial
Statements as of June 30, 2018 and 2017 for our fiscal years ended
June 30, 2018, 2017 and 2016 (our “Audited Consolidated
Financial Statements”). Our Audited Consolidated Financial
Statements have been audited by Price Waterhouse & Co S.R.L.
City of Buenos Aires, Argentina, member of PriceWaterhouseCoopers
International Limited, an independent registered public accounting
firm whose report is included herein.
IDB
Development Corporation Ltd. (“IDBD”) and Discount
Investment Corporation (“DIC”) report their quarterly
and annual results following the Israeli regulations, whose legal
deadlines are after the deadlines in Argentina and since IDBD and
DIC fiscal years end differently from IRSA, the results of
operations from IDBD and DIC are consolidated with a lag ofthree
months and adjusted for the effects of significant transactions
taking place in such period. For these reasons, it is possible to
obtain the quarterly results of IDBD and DIC in time so that they
can be consolidated by IRSA and reported to the CNV in its
Consolidated Financial Statements within the legal deadlines set in
Argentina. This way, the consolidated comprehensive income for the
year ended June 30, 2018 includes the results of IDBD and DIC for
the 12-month period from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018, adjusted
for the significant transactions that occurred between April 1,
2018 and June 30, 2018. In addition,
IDBD’s results of operations for the period beginning October
11, 2015 (the acquisition of control) through March 31, 2016 are
included in the company’s consolidated comprehensive income
for fiscal year ended June 30, 2016, adjusted by significant
transactions occurred between April 1, 2016 and June 30,
2016.
The Company has
established two Operations Centers, Argentina and Israel, to manage
its global business, mainly through the following
companies:
(i) Corresponds to
Company’s associates, which are hence excluded from
consolidation.
(ii) The results
are included in discontinued operations, due to the loss of control
in June 2018.
(iii) Disclosed as
financial assets held for sale.
(iv) Assets and
liabilities are disclosed as held for sale and the results as
discontinued operations.
(v) For more
information about the change within the Operations Center in Israel
see Note 4 to the Audited Consolidated Financial
Statements.
Inflation
We have
determined that, as of July 1, 2018, the Argentine economy
qualifies as a hyperinflationary economy according to the
guidelines to International Accounting Standard 29, Financial
Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies (“IAS 29”)
since the total cumulative inflation in Argentina in the 36 months
prior to July 1, 2018, as measured by the wholesale price index
published by the INDEC, exceeded 100%. IAS 29 will be applicable to
our financial statements for periods ending after July 1,
2018.
IAS 29
requires that the financial information recorded in a
hyperinflationary currency be adjusted by applying a general price
index and expressed in the measuring unit (the hyperinflationary
currency) current at the end of the reporting period. Therefore,
our audited consolidated financial statements included in this
annual report will be adjusted by applying a general price index
and expressed in the measuring unit (the hyperinflationary
currency) current at the end of the most recent reporting period.
We have not estimated yet the impact of the application of IAS 29
provisions in our audited consolidated financial statements. Our
Audited Consolidated Financial Statements included in this annual
report were not restated into constant currency.
For
more information, see “Risk Factors—Risks Relating to
Argentina—The peso qualifies as a currency of a
hyperinflationary economy under IAS 29. We cannot assure you
whether regulatory agencies of the Argentine national government
will require us to not apply IAS 29 to financial statements
furnished to such regulators” and “—Continuing
inflation may have an adverse effect on the economy and our
business, financial condition and results of
operations.”
Currency translations and rounding
In this
annual report where we refer to “Peso,”
“Pesos,” or “Ps.” we mean Argentine Pesos,
the lawful currency in Argentina; when we refer to “U.S.
Dollars,” or “US$” we mean United States Dollars,
the lawful currency of the United States of America; when we refer
to “Real,”
“Reals,”
“Rs.” or “R$” we mean Brazilian
Real, the lawful currency
in the Federative Republic of Brazil; when we refer to
“NIS,” we mean New Israeli Shekels, the lawful currency
of Israel; and when we refer to “Central Bank” we mean
the Banco Central de la
República Argentina (Argentine Central
Bank).
Our
functional and presentation currency is the Peso, and accordingly
our Financial Statements included in this annual report are
presented in Pesos. We have translated some of the Peso amounts
contained in this annual report into U.S. dollars for convenience
purposes only. Unless otherwise specified or the context otherwise
requires, the rate used to convert Peso amounts to U.S. dollars is
the seller exchange rate quoted by Banco de la Nación
Argentina of Ps.28.8500 per US$1.00 for information provided as of
June 30, 2018. The average seller exchange rate for the fiscal year
2018, quoted by Banco de la Nación Argentina was Ps.19.4888.
The U.S. dollar-equivalent information presented in this annual
report is provided solely for the convenience of investors and
should not be construed as implying that the Peso amounts
represent, or could have been or could be converted into, U.S.
dollars at such rates or at any other rate. The seller exchange
rate quoted by Banco de la Nación Argentina was Ps.36.7900 per
US$1.00 as of October 25, 2018. See “Item 3. Key
Information—Local Exchange Market and Exchange Rates.”
and “Item 3. Risk Factors— Continuing inflation may
have an adverse effect on the economy and our business, financial
condition and the results of our operations”.
We have
also translated certain NIS amounts into U.S. dollars at the offer
exchange rate for June 30, 2018 which was NIS 3.6553=U.S.$1.00. We
make no representation that the Peso, NIS or U.S. dollar amounts
actually represent or could have been or could be converted into
U.S. dollars at the rates indicated, at any particular rate or at
all. See “Item 3 – Key information - Local Exchange
Market and Exchange Rates.”
Certain
numbers and percentages included in this annual report have been
subject to rounding adjustments. Accordingly, figures shown for the
same category presented in various tables or other sections of this
annual report may vary slightly, and figures shown as totals in
certain tables may not be the arithmetic aggregation of the figures
that precede them.
Fiscal years
References
to fiscal years 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2014 are to our fiscal
years starting on July 1 and ending on June 30 of each
such year.
Certain measurements
In
Argentina the standard measure of area in the real estate market is
the square meter (m2), while in the United States and certain other
jurisdictions the standard measure of area is the square foot (sq.
ft.). All units of area shown in this annual report (e.g., gross leasable area of buildings
(“GLA” or “gross leasable area”,) and size
of undeveloped land) are expressed in terms of square meters. One
square meter is equal to approximately 10.764 square feet. One
hectare is equal to approximately 10,000 square meters and to
approximately 2.47 acres.
As used
herein, GLA in the case of shopping malls, refers to the total
leasable area of the property, regardless of our ownership interest
in such property (excluding common areas and parking and space
occupied by supermarkets, hypermarkets, gas stations and co-owners,
except where specifically stated).
Market share data
Information
regarding market share in a specified region or area is based on
data compiled by us from internal sources and from publications
such as Bloomberg, the International Council of Shopping Centers,
or “ICSC,” the Argentine Chamber of Shopping Centers
(Cámara Argentina de Shopping Centers), and Colliers
International. While we believe that these sources are reliable, we
have not independently verified the information prepared by these
sources.
PART I
ITEM 1. Identity of Directors, Senior Management, Advisers and
Auditors
This
item is not applicable.
ITEM 2. Offer Statistics and Expected Timetable
This
item is not applicable.
ITEM 3. Key Information
A. Selected Consolidated Financial Data
The
following selected consolidated financial data has been derived
from our Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of the dates
and for each of the periods indicated below. This information
should also be read in conjunction with our Audited Consolidated
Financial Statements included under Item 8. “Financial
Information”, and the discussion in Item 5. “Operating
and Financial Review and Prospects”.
The
selected consolidated statement of income and other comprehensive
income data for the years ended June 30, 2018, 2017 and 2016, and
the selected consolidated statement of financial position data as
of June 30, 2018 and 2017 have been derived from our Audited
Consolidated Financial Statements, which have been audited by Price
Waterhouse & Co. S.R.L., City of Buenos Aires, Argentina, a
member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, an
independent registered public accounting firm. The summarized
consolidated statement of comprehensive income and cash flow data
for the fiscal years 2015 and 2014 and the summarized consolidated
statement of financial position data as of June 30, 2016, 2015 and
2014 have been derived from our audited consolidated financial
statements for the fiscal years ended June 30, 2016, 2015 and 2014
which have been retroactively recast to give effect to the change
of measurement basis for our investment properties. These financial
statements are not included in this annual report.
We have
determined that, as of July 1, 2018, the Argentine economy
qualifies as hyperinflationary economy according to IAS 29. IAS 29
requires that the financial statements recorded in the currency of
a hyperinflationary economy be adjusted in terms of a measuring
unit current at the end of reporting period. We did not apply the
restatement criteria to the financial information for the periods
reported in this annual report since IAS 29 will be applicable to
our financial statementes for periods ending after July 1, 2018.
For more information on inflation, see “Operating and
Financial Review and Prospects— Factors Affecting our Results
of Operations—Effects of Inflation.”
On
October 11, 2015, we obtained control of IDBD. In conformity with
IFRS 3, IDBD’s
information is included in our Financial Statements since the
acquisition date, without affecting the information from previous
years. Therefore, the consolidated financial information for
periods after the acquisition date is not comparable to previous
periods. For more information see “Item
5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects−Factors
Affecting Comparability of our Results.”
Summarized Consolidated Financial and Other
Information
|
For
the fiscal year ended June 30,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in
millon of US$) (i) (ii)
|
(in
millon of Ps. ; except per share data)
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENT OF INCOME AND OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues
|
1,147
|
33,088
|
27,004
|
12,916
|
3,403
|
2,845
|
Costs
|
(680)
|
(19,629)
|
(16,033)
|
(7,036)
|
(1,369)
|
(1,157)
|
Gross
profit
|
467
|
13,459
|
10,971
|
5,880
|
2,034
|
1,688
|
Net gain from fair
value adjustment of investment properties
|
784
|
22,605
|
4,340
|
17,536
|
3,958
|
4,139
|
General and
administrative expenses
|
(134)
|
(3,869)
|
(3,219)
|
(1,639)
|
(374)
|
(297)
|
Selling
expenses
|
(162)
|
(4,663)
|
(4,007)
|
(1,842)
|
(194)
|
(146)
|
Other operating
results, net
|
20
|
582
|
(206)
|
(32)
|
33
|
(59)
|
Profit
from operations
|
974
|
28,114
|
7,879
|
19,903
|
5,457
|
5,325
|
Share of profit /
(loss) of associates and joint ventures
|
(25)
|
(721)
|
109
|
508
|
(813)
|
(328)
|
Profit
from operations before financial results and income
tax
|
949
|
27,393
|
7,988
|
20,411
|
4,644
|
4,997
|
Finance
income
|
61
|
1,761
|
937
|
1,264
|
137
|
132
|
Finance
costs
|
(730)
|
(21,058)
|
(8,072)
|
(5,571)
|
(1,107)
|
(1,749)
|
Other financial
results
|
21
|
596
|
3,040
|
(518)
|
37
|
(102)
|
Financial
results, net
|
(648)
|
(18,701)
|
(4,095)
|
(4,825)
|
(933)
|
(1,719)
|
Profit
before income tax
|
301
|
8,692
|
3,893
|
15,586
|
3,711
|
3,278
|
Income
tax
|
4
|
124
|
(2,766)
|
(6,325)
|
(1,581)
|
(1,392)
|
Profit
from continuing operations
|
306
|
8,816
|
1,127
|
9,261
|
2,130
|
1,886
|
Profit from
discontinued operations
|
433
|
12,479
|
4,093
|
817
|
-
|
-
|
Total
profit for the year
|
738
|
21,295
|
5,220
|
10,078
|
2,130
|
1,886
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other
comprehensive income / (loss):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Items that may be subsequently reclassified to profit or
loss:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Currency
translation adjustment
|
440
|
12,689
|
1,919
|
4,531
|
(214)
|
460
|
Share
of other comprehensive income / (loss) of associates and joint
ventures
|
32
|
922
|
1,920
|
(178)
|
106
|
85
|
Revaluation
reserve
|
3
|
99
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Net
change in fair value of hedging instruments
|
(1)
|
(19)
|
124
|
3
|
-
|
-
|
Items
that may not be subsequently reclassified to profit or loss, net of
income tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actuarial loss from defined benefit
plans
|
-
|
(12)
|
(10)
|
(10)
|
-
|
-
|
Other comprehensive income / (loss) from continuing
operations
|
474
|
13,679
|
3,953
|
4,346
|
(108)
|
545
|
Other
comprehensive income / (loss) from discontinued
operations
|
15
|
435
|
560
|
(213)
|
-
|
-
|
Total other comprehensive income / (loss) for the year
|
489
|
14,114
|
4,513
|
4,133
|
(108)
|
545
|
Total comprehensive income for the year
|
1,227
|
35,409
|
9,733
|
14,211
|
2,022
|
2,431
|
Total
comprehensive income from continuing operations
|
780
|
22,495
|
5,080
|
13,607
|
2,022
|
2,431
|
Total
comprehensive income from discontinued operations
|
448
|
12,914
|
4,653
|
604
|
-
|
-
|
Total comprehensive income for the year
|
1,227
|
35,409
|
9,733
|
14,211
|
2,022
|
2,431
|
Total
profit for the year attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of
the parent
|
520
|
15,003
|
3,030
|
9,534
|
1,898
|
1,762
|
Non-controlling
interest
|
218
|
6,292
|
2,190
|
544
|
232
|
124
|
Profit
from continuing operations attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of
the parent
|
183
|
5,278
|
1,383
|
9,196
|
1,898
|
1,762
|
Non-controlling
interest
|
123
|
3,538
|
(256)
|
65
|
232
|
124
|
Total comprehensive income for the year attributable
to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity
holders of the parent
|
538
|
15,532
|
4,054
|
9,605
|
1,773
|
2,202
|
Non-controlling
interest
|
689
|
19,877
|
5,679
|
4,606
|
249
|
229
|
Total comprehensive income from continuing operations attributable
to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity
holders of the parent
|
185
|
5,338
|
1,977
|
9,356
|
1,773
|
2,202
|
Non-controlling
interest
|
595
|
17,157
|
3,103
|
4,251
|
249
|
229
|
Total
profit for the year per common share attributable to equity holders
of the parent:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic (1)
|
0.90
|
26.09
|
5.27
|
16.58
|
3.31
|
3.06
|
Diluted
(2)
|
0.90
|
25.91
|
5.23
|
16.47
|
3.28
|
3.04
|
Profit
per common share from continuing operations attributable to equity
holders of the parent:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic (1)
|
0.32
|
9.18
|
2.41
|
15.99
|
3.31
|
3.06
|
Diluted
(2)
|
0.32
|
9.12
|
2.39
|
15.88
|
3.28
|
3.04
|
CASH FLOW DATA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net
cash generated by operating activities
|
497
|
14,339
|
9,059
|
4,126
|
834
|
1,022
|
Net
cash (used in) / generated by investing activities
|
(401)
|
(11,573)
|
(2,068)
|
8,223
|
261
|
(917)
|
Net
cash generated by / (used in) financing activities
|
(134)
|
(3,867)
|
1,537
|
(3,968)
|
(1,390)
|
(597)
|
|
For
the fiscal year ended June 30,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in
millon of
US$)(i)(ii)
|
|
CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ASSETS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-current
assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment
properties
|
5,640
|
162,726
|
99,953
|
82,703
|
19,217
|
15,796
|
Property, plant and
equipment
|
465
|
13,403
|
27,113
|
24,049
|
237
|
219
|
Trading
properties
|
209
|
6,018
|
4,532
|
4,730
|
141
|
131
|
Intangible
assets
|
426
|
12,297
|
12,387
|
11,763
|
127
|
124
|
Other
assets
|
7
|
189
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Investment in
associates and joint ventures
|
854
|
24,650
|
7,885
|
16,880
|
2,970
|
2,587
|
Deferred income tax
assets
|
13
|
380
|
285
|
51
|
57
|
41
|
Income tax and MPIT
credit
|
14
|
415
|
145
|
123
|
109
|
110
|
Restricted
assets
|
71
|
2,044
|
448
|
54
|
-
|
-
|
Trade and other
receivables
|
282
|
8,142
|
4,974
|
3,441
|
115
|
92
|
Employee
benefits
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
4
|
-
|
-
|
Investments in
financial assets
|
59
|
1,703
|
1,772
|
2,226
|
703
|
275
|
Financial assets
held for sale
|
270
|
7,788
|
6,225
|
3,346
|
-
|
-
|
Derivative
financial instruments
|
-
|
-
|
31
|
8
|
206
|
-
|
Total
non-current assets
|
8,310
|
239,755
|
165,750
|
149,378
|
23,882
|
19,375
|
Current
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading
properties
|
112
|
3,232
|
1,249
|
241
|
3
|
5
|
Inventories
|
22
|
630
|
4,260
|
3,246
|
23
|
17
|
Restricted
assets
|
147
|
4,245
|
506
|
564
|
9
|
-
|
Income tax and MPIT
credit
|
14
|
399
|
339
|
506
|
19
|
16
|
Group of assets
held for sale
|
180
|
5,192
|
2,681
|
-
|
-
|
1,649
|
Trade and other
receivables
|
518
|
14,947
|
17,264
|
13,409
|
1,143
|
707
|
Investments in
financial assets
|
884
|
25,503
|
11,951
|
9,656
|
295
|
234
|
Financial assets
held for sale
|
155
|
4,466
|
2,337
|
1,256
|
-
|
-
|
Derivative
financial instruments
|
3
|
87
|
51
|
19
|
29
|
13
|
Cash and cash
equivalents
|
1,293
|
37,317
|
24,854
|
13,866
|
375
|
610
|
Total
Current Assets
|
3,328
|
96,018
|
65,492
|
42,763
|
1,896
|
3,251
|
TOTAL ASSETS
|
11,639
|
335,773
|
231,242
|
192,141
|
25,778
|
22,626
|
SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital and reserves attributable to the equity holders of the
parent
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital
|
20
|
575
|
575
|
575
|
574
|
574
|
Treasury
shares
|
-
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
Inflation
adjustment of share capital and treasury shares
|
4
|
123
|
123
|
123
|
123
|
123
|
Share premium
|
27
|
793
|
793
|
793
|
793
|
793
|
Additional paid-in capital from treasury
shares
|
1
|
19
|
17
|
16
|
7
|
-
|
Legal reserve
|
5
|
143
|
143
|
117
|
117
|
117
|
Special reserve
|
95
|
2,751
|
2,751
|
2,755
|
2,755
|
3,126
|
Other reserves
|
73
|
2,111
|
2,165
|
990
|
428
|
931
|
Retained earnings
|
1,071
|
30,902
|
19,293
|
16,259
|
7,235
|
4,551
|
Total capital and reserves
attributable to equity holders of the
parent
|
1,297
|
37,421
|
25,864
|
21,632
|
12,037
|
10,220
|
Non-controlling
interest
|
1,287
|
37,120
|
21,472
|
14,224
|
943
|
998
|
TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
|
2,584
|
74,541
|
47,336
|
35,856
|
12,980
|
11,218
|
LIABILITIES
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-current liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings
|
6,275
|
181,046
|
109,489
|
90,680
|
3,736
|
3,756
|
Deferred
income tax liabilities
|
908
|
26,197
|
23,024
|
19,150
|
5,830
|
4,546
|
Trade
and other payables
|
121
|
3,484
|
3,040
|
1,518
|
255
|
202
|
Provisions
|
123
|
3,549
|
943
|
532
|
29
|
29
|
Employee
benefits
|
4
|
110
|
763
|
689
|
-
|
-
|
Derivative
financial instruments
|
1
|
24
|
86
|
105
|
265
|
321
|
Salaries
and social security liabilities
|
2
|
66
|
127
|
11
|
2
|
4
|
Total non-current liabilities
|
7,434
|
214,476
|
137,472
|
112,685
|
10,117
|
8,858
|
Current liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trade
and other payables
|
507
|
14,617
|
20,839
|
17,874
|
896
|
679
|
Borrowings
|
887
|
25,587
|
19,926
|
22,252
|
1,237
|
737
|
Provisions
|
36
|
1,053
|
890
|
1,039
|
52
|
18
|
Group of liabilities held for
sale
|
112
|
3,243
|
1,855
|
-
|
-
|
938
|
Salaries
and social security liabilities
|
54
|
1,553
|
2,041
|
1,707
|
123
|
99
|
Income
tax and MPIT liabilities
|
18
|
522
|
797
|
616
|
135
|
65
|
Derivative
financial instruments
|
6
|
181
|
86
|
112
|
238
|
14
|
Total current liabilities
|
1,621
|
46,756
|
46,434
|
43,600
|
2,681
|
2,550
|
TOTAL LIABILITIES
|
9,055
|
261,232
|
183,906
|
156,285
|
12,798
|
11,408
|
TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
|
11,639
|
335,773
|
231,242
|
192,141
|
25,778
|
22,626
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For
the fiscal year ended June 30,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OTHER FINANCIAL DATA
|
(in
millon
of
US$)(i)(ii)
|
|
|
(except
for number of shares, per share and GDS data and
ratios)
|
Basic profit from continuing operations per
GDS(3)
|
3.18
|
91.79
|
24.05
|
159.93
|
33.07
|
30.59
|
Diluted profit from continuing operations per
GDS(3)
|
3.16
|
91.16
|
23.89
|
158.83
|
32.84
|
30.45
|
Basic profit for the year per
GDS(3)
|
9.04
|
260.92
|
52.70
|
165.81
|
33.07
|
30.59
|
Diluted profit for the year per
GDS(3)
|
8.98
|
259.12
|
52.33
|
164.66
|
32.84
|
30.45
|
Diluted
weighted – average number of common shares
outstanding
|
578,676,417
|
578,676,471
|
578,700,307
|
578,811,837
|
578,004,721
|
578,676,470
|
Depreciation
and amortization
|
130
|
3,737
|
3,377
|
1,531
|
33
|
29
|
Capital
expenditures
|
263
|
7,597
|
5,482
|
47,059
|
532
|
318
|
Working capital
|
1,708
|
49,262
|
19,058
|
(837)
|
(785)
|
701
|
Ratio
of current assets to current liabilities
|
0.07
|
2.05
|
1.41
|
0.98
|
0.71
|
1.27
|
Ratio
of shareholders’ equity to total liabilities
|
0.01
|
0.29
|
0.26
|
0.23
|
1.01
|
0.98
|
Ratio
of non-current assets to total assets
|
0.02
|
0.71
|
0.72
|
0.78
|
0.93
|
0.86
|
Dividends paid(4)
|
(92)
|
(2,651)
|
(2,037)
|
(106)
|
(69)
|
(113)
|
Dividends
per common share
|
(0.16)
|
(4.61)
|
(3.54)
|
(0.18)
|
(0.12)
|
(0.20)
|
Dividends
per GDS
|
(1.60)
|
(46.10)
|
(35.43)
|
(1.84)
|
(1.20)
|
(1.97)
|
Number
of common shares outstanding
|
575,421,864
|
575,421,864
|
575,254,979
|
575,153,497
|
574,450,945
|
573,771,763
|
Share
capital
|
575
|
575
|
575
|
575
|
574
|
574
|
(i)
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
(ii)
Solely for the convenience of the reader we have translated Peso
amounts into U.S. Dollars at the seller exchange rate quoted by
Banco de la Nación Argentina as of June 30, 2018, which was
Ps.28.8500 per US$1.00. The average seller exchange rate for the
fiscal year 2018, quoted by Banco de la Nación Argentina was
Ps.19.4888. The seller exchange rate quoted by Banco de la
Nación Argentina was Ps.36.7900 per US$1.00 as of October 25,
2018. We make no representation that the Argentine Peso or U.S.
Dollar amounts actually represent, could have been or could be
converted into U.S. Dollars at the rates indicated, at any
particular rate or at all. See "Exchange Rates." Totals may not sum
due to rounding.
(1)
Basic
net income per share is calculated by dividing the net income
available to holders of common shares for the period / year by the
weighted average number of shares outstanding during the period /
year.
(2)
Diluted
net income per share is calculated by dividing the net income for
the year by the weighted average number of ordinary shares
including treasury shares.
(3)
Determined
by multiplying the amounts per share by ten (one GDS is equal to
ten common shares).
Dividend amounts, corresponding to fiscal years
ending on June 30 of each year, are determined by the Annual
Shareholders’
Meeting, which takes place in October
of each year.
Local Exchange Market
and Exchange Rates
Operations Center in
Argentina
A.1. Local Exchange Market and Exchange Rates
In the
period from 2001 to 2015, the Argentine government established a
series of exchange control measures that restricted the free
disposition of funds and the transfer of funds abroad. In 2011,
these measures had significantly curtailed access to the MULC by
both individuals and private sector entities. This made it
necessary, among other things, to obtain prior approval from the
Central Bank to enter into certain foreign exchange transactions
such as payments relating to royalties, services or fees payable to
related parties of Argentine companies outside
Argentina.
With
the change of government and political environment, in December
2015, one of the first measures taken by the Argentine government
was to lift the main restrictions that limited access to
individuals to the MULC. Through Communication “A”
5,850 and later, as the local economy stabilized, Communication
“A” 6,037, the Central Bank lifted the previous
limitations and allowed unrestricted access to the foreign exchange
market, subject to some requirements, as detailed
below.
The
following table shows the maximum, minimum, average and closing
exchange rates for each applicable period to purchases of U.S.
dollars.
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal
year ended:
|
|
|
|
|
June 30,
2014
|
8.0830
|
5.4850
|
6.9333
|
8.0830
|
June 30,
2015
|
9.0380
|
8.1630
|
8.5748
|
9.0380
|
June 30,
2016
|
15.7500
|
9.1400
|
12.2769
|
14.9900
|
June 30,
2017
|
16.5800
|
14.5100
|
15.4017
|
16.5800
|
June 30,
2018
|
28.8000
|
16.7500
|
19.4388
|
28.8000
|
Month
ended:
|
|
|
|
|
April 30,
2018
|
20.5000
|
20.0850
|
20.1834
|
20.4900
|
May 31,
2018
|
24.9400
|
21.1500
|
23.6783
|
24.9100
|
June 30,
2018
|
28.8000
|
24.8500
|
26.5665
|
28.8000
|
July 31,
2018
|
28.2500
|
27.1600
|
27.5241
|
27.3600
|
August 31,
2018
|
37.5500
|
27.2400
|
30.1129
|
36.7500
|
September 30,
2018
|
41.1500
|
36.8900
|
38.4341
|
41.1500
|
October (through
October 25, 2018)
|
39.5000
|
35.9000
|
37.0583
|
36.6900
|
Source: Banco de la Nación Argentina
(1)
Average between the offer exchange rate and the bid exchange rate
according to Banco de la Nación Argentina’s foreign
currency exchange rate.
(2) The
maximum exchange rate appearing in the table was the highest
end-of-month exchange rate in the year or shorter period, as
indicated.
(3) The
minimum exchange rate appearing in the table was the lowest
end-of-month exchange rate in the year or shorter period, as
indicated.
(4)
Average exchange rates at the end of the month.
Exchange controls
Although
most exchange control regulations were lifted on August 2016, some
remain in place and we cannot give you any assurance that
additional exchange control regulations will not be adopted in the
future. Please see “Item 3. Key information—d) Risk
Factors—Risks Relating to Argentina—Exchange controls,
restrictions on transfers abroad and capital inflow restrictions
may limit the availability of international
credit.”
Exchange
controls regulations currently in effect in Argentina include the
following:
Registration requirements
All
incoming and outgoing funds to and from the MULC and any foreign
indebtedness (financial and commercial) are subject to registration
requirements before the Central Bank for informative purposes, in
accordance with Communication “A” 6,401, as
amended.
Corporate profits and dividends
Argentine
companies may freely access the MULC for remittances abroad to pay
earnings and dividends in so far as they arise from closed and
fully audited balance sheets and have satisfied applicable
certification requirements.
Restrictions on foreign indebtedness
Pursuant
to Resolution E 1/2017 of the Ministerio de Hacienda and
Communication “A” 6,150 of the Argentine Central Bank,
it was deleted the obligation that required non-residents to
perform portfolio investments in the country intended for the
holding of private sector financial assets to maintain for a period
of 120 days of permanence the funds in the country.
As of
that resolution and the provisions of Communication “A”
6,244 of the Argentine Central Bank, there are no restrictions on
entry and exit in the MULC.
Restrictions on exports, imports and services
Regarding exports,
in 2016 the Central Bank relaxed certain rules related to the
inflow and outflow of foreign currency collected abroad as a result
of the collection of exports of goods, advance payments, and
pre-export financings, establishing that the deadline to repatriate
to Argentina the foreign currency is 10 years. The prior
10-business day period applicable for the transfer of funds
collected abroad as a result of the collection of exports of goods,
advance payments, and pre-export financings to a correspondent bank
account of a local financial institution (cuenta de corresponsalía) was
eliminated in December 2015. In relation to the export of services,
Communication “A” 6,137 the Central Bank eliminated the
obligation to repatriate to Argentina the foreign currency
obtained.
Regarding
imports, access to the foreign exchange market for the payment of
imports with customs clearance date as of December 17, 2015
can be paid through the local foreign exchange market without any
limit. AFIP Regulation No. 3,252 published on January 5,
2012 which required importers to file affidavits was eliminated in
December 2015 and the import monitoring system (Sistema Integral de Monitoreo de
Importaciones, or “SIMI”) was created, which
established an obligation for importers to submit certain
information electronically. Importers do not have to repatriate the
goods within a specified period (previously this period was 365
calendar days from the date of access to the foreign exchange
market).
Regarding
the payment of services, access to the foreign exchange market for
payments of services rendered as from December 17, 2015 may be
carried out without restriction and without the Central
Bank’s prior authorization.
Direct investments
Communication
A 6401 established a new reporting system of direct investments,
which replaced the reporting system established by Communications A
3602 and A 4237, applicable since December 31, 2017. As of date,
investors who are Argentine residents must comply with the
information regime if the value of their investments abroad reaches
or exceeds the equivalent of US$1,000,000 (measured in terms of 1)
the sum of the flows of external assets and liabilities during the
previous calendar year, and 2) the balance of holdings of external
assets and liabilities at the end of the previous calendar year).
If the value of investments abroad does not exceed the equivalent
of US$50,000,000, the information regime must be complied on an
annual basis (in case it is less than US$10,000,000, the
information regime will be annual but with a simplified form),
instead of quarterly. If the value of the investments is less than
the equivalent of US$1,000,000, compliance with said regime is
optional.
Future and forward operations
The
Central Bank has significantly amended the foreign exchange
regulations in derivatives by eliminating the restriction on the
execution of cross-border derivative transactions. In August 2016,
the Central Bank introduced new foreign exchange regulations on
derivative transactions which allowed local residents from entering
into derivative transactions with foreign residents. Moreover, the
regulations now provide that Argentine residents may access the
foreign exchange market to pay premiums, post collateral and make
payments related to forwards, futures, options and other
derivatives entered into in foreign exchanges or with non-resident
counterparties.
The
foreign exchange regulations now allow Argentine residents to enter
into derivative transaction with foreign counterparties without the
need for authorization of the Central Bank. They also allow them to
purchase foreign currency to make payments under such derivative
transactions.
Law No.
27,440 in its articles 188 to 194 introduces, among others, the
following modifications related to derivatives:
●
The right of the
non-bankrupted party and the contracting party of an insurance
entity subject to a judicial liquidation process to be resolv in
advance the derivatives and passes granted by the Bankruptcy Law
No. 24,522 and Law No. 20,091 of the Insurance Entities shall not
apply;
●
The restriction for
the exercise of the contractual mechanisms of early termination,
termination, settlement, compensation and execution of guarantees
contained in the derivatives established by the Financial Entities
Law No. 21,526 and the Central Bank regulations shall not apply
to.
Operations Center in
Israel
The
following table shows the maximum, minimum, average and closing
exchange rates for each period applicable to purchases of New
Israeli Shekels (NIS).
|
|
|
|
|
Fiscal
year ended:
|
|
|
|
|
June 30,
2014
|
3.6213
|
3.4320
|
3.5075
|
3.4320
|
June 30,
2015
|
3.9831
|
3.4260
|
3.8064
|
3.7747
|
June 30,
2016
|
3.9604
|
3.7364
|
3.8599
|
3.8596
|
June 30,
2017
|
3.8875
|
3.4882
|
3.6698
|
3.4882
|
June 30,
2018
|
3.6573
|
3.3902
|
3.5276
|
3.6573
|
Month
ended:
|
|
|
|
|
April 30,
2018
|
3.5995
|
3.5020
|
3.5380
|
3.5995
|
May 31,
2018
|
3.6260
|
3.5613
|
3.5881
|
3.5648
|
June 30,
2018
|
3.6573
|
3.5569
|
3.6064
|
3.6573
|
July 31,
2018
|
3.6708
|
3.6234
|
3.6439
|
3.6708
|
August 31,
2018
|
3.7173
|
3.6051
|
3.6606
|
3.6051
|
September 30,
2018
|
3.6373
|
3.5709
|
3.5893
|
3.6373
|
October 2018
(through October 25, 2018)
|
3.6982
|
3.6236
|
3.6483
|
3.6982
|
Source:
Bloomberg
(1)
Average between the
offer exchange rate and the bid exchange rate of the New Israeli
Shekel against the U.S. dollar.
(2)
The maximum
exchange rate appearing in the table was the highest end-of-month
exchange rate in the year or shorter period, as
indicated.
(3)
The minimum
exchange rate appearing in the table was the lowest end-of-month
exchange rate in the year or shorter period, as
indicated.
(4)
Average exchange
rates at the end of the month.
B. Capitalization and Indebtedness
This
section is not applicable.
C. Reasons for the Offer and Use of Proceeds
This
section is not applicable.
D. Risk Factors
You
should carefully consider the risks described below, in addition to
the other information contained in this annual report, before
making an investment decision. We also may face additional risks
and uncertainties not currently known to us, or which as of the
date of this annual report we might not consider significant, which
may adversely affect our business. In general, you take more risk
when you invest in securities of issuers in emerging markets, such
as Argentina, than when you invest in securities of issuers in the
United States, and certain other markets. You should understand
that an investment in our common shares and Global Depository
Shares ( “GDSs”)
involves a high degree of risk, including the possibility of loss
of your entire investment.
Risks relating to Argentina
As of
the date of this annual report, many of our operations, property
and customers are located in Argentina. As a result, the quality of
our assets, our financial condition and the results of our
operations are dependent upon the macroeconomic, regulatory, social
and political conditions prevailing in Argentina from time to time.
These conditions include growth rates, inflation rates, exchange
rates, taxes, foreign exchange controls, changes to interest rates,
changes to government policies, social instability, and other
political, economic or international developments either taking
place in, or otherwise affecting, Argentina.
Economic and political instability in Argentina may adversely and
materially affect our business, results of operations and financial
condition.
The
Argentine economy has experienced significant volatility in recent
decades, characterized by periods of low or negative GDP growth,
high and variable levels of inflation and currency depreciation and
devaluation. The economy has experienced high inflation and GDP
growth has been sluggish in the last few years.
During
2014, the Argentine economy saw a slowdown due to the increase in
exchange rates and decreases in commodity prices that adversely
impacted exports. The Argentine economy continues to confront high
rates of inflation and has an increasing need of capital
investment, with many sectors, particularly the energy sector,
operating near full capacity.
In
March 2014, the Argentine Government announced a new method
for calculating GDP recommended by the IMF changing the base year
to 2004 from 1993. On June 29, 2016, a recalculation of
estimated GDP growth rates based on 2004 prices was undertaken and
resulted in calculated rates of 2.4% in 2013, (2.5)% in 2014, 2.7%
in 2015, (1.8)% in 2016 and 2.9% in 2017. According to the INDEC,
GDP growth in the first and second quarter of 2018 compared with
the same quarter in the previous year was 3.9% and (4.2)%,
respectively. According to the IMF, the estimated Argentina's real
GDP growth will be (2.6)% in 2018 and (1.6)% in 2019. Economic
activity in the second quarter of 2018 has been adversely affected
by the Central Bank’s increase in the reference rate to 60%
during that period to curtail the weakening of the Argentine peso.
As of August 31, 2018, the depreciation of the peso against the
U.S. dollar was 50.1% comparing to the beginning of the year. In
the second half of 2017 and the first half of 2018, the percentage
of people below the poverty line was 25.7% and 27.3%, respectively.
The unemployment rate in the first and second quarter of 2018 was
9.1% and 9.6%, respectively. The June 2018 / May 2018 variation of
the Monthly Economic Activity Estimator was (1.3)%. On October 8,
2018, the IMF published the "World Economic Outlook" report,
estimating an unemployment rate of 8.9% in 2018 and 9.4% in
2019.
On
February 22, 2017, Minister of the Treasury Nicolas Dujovne
announced fiscal targets for the period 2017-2019, ratifying the
target set in the 2017 budget which established a primary deficit
target of 4.2% of GDP for 2017, 3.2% for 2018 and 2.2% for 2019. On
May 4, 2018, Minister Dujovne lowered the primary deficit
target for 2018 to 2.7% of GDP in an effort to achieve a balanced
budget by 2019. After agreeing to a stand-by arrangement with the
IMF in June 2018, the Argentine Government has adjusted its
primary fiscal deficit target to 1.0% of GDP for 2019 and intends
to balance the budget by the end of 2020. On August 10, 2018, the
IMF commenced its first review of the Argentine economy. This
review is taking place during a complex period in Argentina as a
bribery scandal, which involves many important businessmen, is
underway and the Argentine peso is experiencing significant
depreciation. On September 3, 2018, the Ministry of Treasury has
adjusted its targets to a primary fiscal deficit of 2.6% of GDP in
2018, a balanced budget in 2019 and a primary fiscal surplus of
1.0% of GDP in 2019, through reducing the public primary
expenditure, including reducing by half the amount of national
ministries, from 20 to 10, but increasing the spending on social
benefits, including the strengthening of the fair price of basic
products policy and the universal child allowance (asignación
universal por hijo) through the one-time granting of an
extraordinary subsidy of Ps.1,200 in September 2018. On September
26, 2018, the Argentine Government agreed with the IMF an increase
in the total amount of the stand by agreement from US$50 billion to
US$57.1 billion. In this sense, the anticipated disbursements rise
from US$6 billion to US$13.4 billion in 2018, and from US$11.4
billion to US$22.8 billion in 2019. On September 17, 2018, the
Argentine Government summited to the Argentine Congress the budget
law for fiscal year 2019 bill, ratifying the aforementioned
budgetary targets. On September 26, 2018, the Central Bank
announced a new monetary policy scheme aiming to lowering the
inflation rate by adopting the following measures: (i) no increase
in the level of the monetary base until June 2019, when it will be
adjusted with the seasonality of December 2018 and June 2019; (ii)
maintenance of the reference rate at 60% until the deceleration of
inflation rate is taking place; (iii) implementation of a floating
exchange rate with intervention and non-intervention zones for the
U.S. dollar exchange rate between Ps.34 and Ps.44, with daily
adjustment at a rate of 3% per month until the end of 2018 and its
revision at the beginning of 2019, intervening in the purchase or
sale of foreign currency for up to US$150 million per day to the
extent that the exchange rate reaches the established upper or
lower bound.
Since
coming into power in December 2015, the Macri administration has
adopted the following key economic and policy reforms.
●
INDEC reforms. President Macri
appointed Mr. Jorge Todesca, previously a director of a
private consulting firm, as head of the INDEC, based on its
determination that INDEC had failed to produce reliable statistical
information, particularly with respect to the consumer price index,
or “CPI”, GDP and poverty and foreign trade data. On
January 8, 2016, the Argentine government declared a state of
administrative emergency relating to the national statistical
system and the INDEC, until December 31, 2016. During 2016,
the INDEC implemented certain methodological reforms and adjusted
certain macroeconomic statistics on the basis of these reforms.
Following the declared emergency, the INDEC ceased publishing
statistical data until a rearrangement of its technical and
administrative structure is finalized. During the course of
implementing these reforms, however, INDEC has used official
Consumer Price Index, or “CPI,” figures and other
statistical information published by the Province of San Luis and
the City of Buenos Aires. On June 29, 2016, the INDEC
published revised GDP data for the years 2004 through 2015. On
August 31, 2016, the IMF Executive Board met to consider the
progress made by Argentina in improving the quality of official GDP
and CPI data and noted the important progress made in strengthening
the accuracy of Argentina’s statistics. On November 10,
2016, the IMF lifted the existing censure on Argentina regarding
these data. In June 2017, INDEC began to publish revised
CPI figures based on statistical information from 39 cities in
Argentina.
●
Agreement with holdout bondholders. The
Argentine government has settled claims with substantially all of
the holdout bondholders who had not previously participated in
Argentina’s sovereign debt restructurings (in terms of
claims) and regained access to the international capital markets,
issuing several new series of sovereign bonds since President Macri
took office.
●
Foreign exchange reforms. The Macri
administration eliminated a significant portion of foreign exchange
restrictions, including certain currency controls, previously in
effect. On August 9, 2016, the Central Bank issued
Communication “A” 6037 which substantially changed the
existing legal framework and eliminated certain restrictions
limiting access to the foreign exchange market Mercado Único y Libre de Cambios,
or “MULC.” On May 19, 2017, the Central Bank
issued Communication “A” 6244, which unified the
exchange control regulations and relaxed certain controls on the
foreign exchange market. In addition, on December 26, 2017,
the Central Bank implemented a new unified regime effective as of
December 31, 2017 that requires the filing of an annual
return, which is mandatory for any person whose total cash flow or
balance of assets and liabilities amounts to US$1 million or more
during the previous calendar year. The principal measures adopted
as of the date of this annual report include:
i.
the reestablishment
of Argentine residents’ rights to purchase and remit foreign
currency outside of Argentina without limit and without specific
allocation (atesoramiento);
ii.
the elimination of
the mandatory, non-transferable and non-interest bearing 30%
deposit previously required in connection with certain transactions
involving foreign currency inflows;
iii.
the elimination of
the requirement to transfer and settle the proceeds from new
foreign financial indebtedness incurred by the foreign financial
sector, the non-financial private sector and local governments
through the MULC;
iv.
the elimination of
the minimum stay-period that required that proceeds from certain
foreign financial indebtedness must be held for a minimum of 365
calendar days; and
v.
elimination of the
requirement of minimum holding period (of 72 business hours) for
purchases and subsequent sales of securities that trade in
Argentina and in foreign stock markets (such as the
GDSs).
●
Foreign trade reforms. The Macri
administration eliminated export duties on wheat, corn, beef and
regional products, and announced a gradual reduction of the duty on
soybeans by 5% to 30%. Pursuant to Decree No. 1,343/16,
published in the Official Gazette on January 2, 2017, the
Argentine Government announced a gradual reduction of the duty on
soybeans, beans, flour and soybean oil by 0.5 % per month from
January 2018 to December 2019. In addition, the 5% export
duty on most industrial exports and export duties on mining was
eliminated. With respect to payments for imports of goods and
services, the Macri administration announced the gradual
elimination of restrictions on access to the MULC for any
transactions originated before December 17, 2015. Regarding
transactions executed after December 17, 2015, no quantitative
limitations apply. However, on September 4, 2018, the Argentine
Government issued Decree No. 793/2018 that reimplements an export
duty of 12% until December 31, 2020 on export of goods and
services, with a cap of Ps.4 for each U.S. dollar for primary goods
and services and Ps.3 for the rest of the manufactured
goods.
●
National electricity state of emergency and
reforms. Following years of minimal investment in the energy
sector, exacerbated by the Argentine Government’s failure to
implement tariff increases on electricity and natural gas since the
2001-2002 economic crisis, Argentina began to experience energy
shortages in 2011. In response to the growing energy crisis, on
December 15, 2015, the Macri administration declared a state of
emergency, which remained in effect until December 31, 2017.
In addition, through Resolution No. 6/2016 of the Ministry of
Energy and Mining and Resolution No. 1/2016 of the National
Electricity Regulatory Agency (Ente Nacional Regulador de la
Electricidad), the Macri administration announced the
elimination of a portion of energy subsidies then in effect and
implemented a substantial increase in electricity tariffs. As a
result, average electricity prices increased substantially and
could increase further in the future. Certain of Macri´s
Administration initiatives have been challenged in Argentine courts
and resulted in judicial injunctions or determinations that limit
such initiatives. On May 31, 2018, the Argentine Congress
approved a law seeking to limit the increase in energy tariffs
implemented by the Macri administration, which was subsequently
vetoed by President Macri.
●
Tax Amnesty Law. In
July 2016, the Régimen de Sinceramiento Fiscal, or
“Tax Amnesty Law,” was introduced to promote the
voluntary disclosure of undeclared assets by Argentine residents.
The Tax Amnesty Law allowed Argentine tax residents holding
undeclared funds or assets located in Argentina or abroad to
(i) declare such property prior to March 31, 2017 without
facing prosecution for tax evasion or being required to pay
past-due tax liabilities on those assets, if they could provide
evidence that the assets were held as of certain specified cut-off
dates, and (ii) keep the declared property outside Argentina
and not repatriate such property to Argentina. With respect to cash
that was not deposited in bank accounts by the specified cut-off
dates, such amounts had to be disclosed and deposited by
October 31, 2016 in special accounts opened at Argentine
financial entities. Depending on the amount declared and how soon
it was declared, the election to subscribe for certain investment
securities and the payment method used, those who took advantage of
the Tax Amnesty Law paid a special tax of between 0% and 15% on the
total amount declared. Alternatively, they could invest an
equivalent amount in Argentine Government bonds or a fund created
to finance, among other things, public infrastructure projects and
small- to medium-sized businesses. Taxpayers could elect to
subscribe for certain investment securities and reduce the tax
rates payable upon disclosure of previously undisclosed assets. On
April 4, 2017, the Minister of Finance announced that as a
result of the Tax Amnesty Law, assets totaling US$116,800 million
were declared.
●
Retiree Program. On
June 29, 2016, the Argentine Congress enacted the Historical
Reparation Program for Retirees and Pensioners (Programa de
Reparación Histórica para Jubilados y Pensionados). The
main aspects of this Program, designed to reform social security
policies to comply with Supreme Court decisions, include
(i) payments to more than two million retirees and retroactive
compensation of more than 300,000 retirees and (ii) creation
of a universal pension for senior citizens, which guarantees a
pension for all people over 65 years of age who would not otherwise
be eligible to retire with a pension. The Historical Reparation
Program for Retirees and Pensioners will provide retroactive
compensation to retirees for a total amount of more than Ps.47,000
million and expenses of up to Ps.75,000 million to cover all
potential beneficiaries.
● Increase in transportation
fares. In January 2018, the Macri administration
announced an increase in public transport fares in the Greater
Buenos Aires area effective as of February 1,
2018.
●
Correction of monetary imbalances: The
Macri administration announced the adoption of an inflation
targeting regime in parallel with the floating exchange rate regime
and set inflation targets for the next four years. The interannual
inflation targets (comparing the rates as of December of each
year) announced in 2016 by the Central Bank, were from 12% to 17%
for 2017, from 8% to 12% for 2018, and from 3.5% to 6.5% for 2019.
The Central Bank has increased the use of stabilization policies to
reduce excess monetary imbalances and increased peso interest rates
to offset inflationary pressure. On December 27, 2017, the
Argentine Government modified the inflation targets for 2018, 2019
and 2020, increasing them to 15%, 10% and 5%, respectively. In
June 2018, the Central Bank further adjusted inflation targets
to 27% for 2018, 17% for 2019, 13% for 2020 and 9% for 2021 in
light of the Stand-By Agreement with the IMF. In addition, on
September 26, 2018, the Central Bank announced a new monetary
policy scheme aiming to lowering the inflation rate mainly by
adopting a floating exchange rate scheme, maintaining the reference
rate at 60% until the deceleration of inflation rate is taking
place and stopping the monetary base growth until June 2019, when
it will be adjusted with the seasonality of December 2018 and June
2019. On October 8, 2018, the IMF published the "World Economic
Outlook" report, estimating an inflation rate of 40.5% in 2018 and
20.2% in 2019.
● Pension system
reform. On December 19, 2017, the Argentine Congress
enacted the Pension Reform Law which, among other amendments,
adjusted the values of pensions and social benefits in accordance
with inflation and economic growth. Social security payments are
subject to quarterly adjustments each year. 70% of the quarterly
adjustment will be based on the CPI published by the INDEC and 30%
on the variation in the Remuneración Imponible Promedio de los
Trabajadores Estables (an index published by the Ministry of
Labor that measures the salary increases of state employees). On
December 20, 2017, Decree No. 1,058/17 was published and,
with the aim of avoiding divergence with the application of the
previous formula, established a compensatory bonus for retirees,
pensioners and beneficiaries of the universal child allowance
(asignación universal por
hijo). On September 3, 2018, the Argentine Government
announced the strengthening of the universal child allowance
through the one-time granting of an extraordinary subsidy of
Ps.1,200 in September 2018. The Pension Reform Law also amended the
Labor Law to extend the age at which private sector employers may
request the retirement of employees to 70 years of age (compared to
65 years under the prior regime). Notwithstanding the foregoing,
private sector employees may still request pension benefits from
the ages of 65 and 60 for male and female employees,
respectively.
●
Tax reform. On December 27, 2017,
the Argentine Congress approved the tax reform law, enacted on
December 28, 2017. The reform is intended to eliminate certain
inefficiencies in the Argentine tax regime, diminish tax evasion,
expand the tax base and encourage investment, with the long-term
goal of restoring fiscal balance. The reform is part of a larger
policy initiative of the Macri administration intended to increase
employment, make the Argentine economy more competitive (by
reducing the fiscal deficit, for example) and diminish poverty. The
main aspects of the tax reform include the following:
(i) capital gains on real estate sales by Argentine tax
residents (subject to certain exceptions, including a primary
residence exemption) acquired after enactment of the tax reform
will be subject to tax of 15%; (ii) gains on currently exempt
bank deposits and sales of securities (including sovereign bonds)
by Argentine tax residents is subject to tax of (a) 5% in the
case of those denominated in pesos, subject to fixed interest rate
and not indexed, and (b) 15% for those denominated in a
foreign currency or indexed; (iii) gains on sales of shares
listed on a stock exchange remain exempt; (iv) corporate
income tax will decline to 30% in 2018 and 2019 and to 25% in 2020;
(v) social security contributions will be gradually increased
to 19.5% starting in 2022, in lieu of the differential scales
currently in effect; and (vi) the percentage of tax on debits
and credits that can be credited to income tax will be gradually
increased over a five-year period, from the current 17% for credits
to 100% for credits and debits. The tax reform is to be implemented
over a period of one to five years (depending on each
modification). For further information, see
“Taxation—Argentine Taxation”.
●
Corporate Criminal Liability Law. On
November 8, 2017, the Argentine Congress approved Law
No. 27,401, which establishes a system of criminal liability
of corporate entities for criminal offenses against public
administration and national and cross-border bribery committed by,
among others, its shareholders, attorneys-in-fact, directors,
managers, employees, or representatives. Convicted legal persons
are subject to various sanctions including a fine of between 1% and
20% of its annual gross revenue and the partial or total suspension
of its activities for up to ten years. In addition, the law expands
the national criminal jurisdiction to all cases of bribery
including those committed outside the Argentine territory by
citizens or companies with domicile or headquartered in
Argentina.
●
Public-Private Participation Law. On
November 16, 2016, the Public-Private Participation Law was
passed by the Argentine Congress, and has been regulated by Decree
No. 118/2017. This new regime seeks to replace existing
regulatory frameworks (Decrees No. 1,299/00 and 967/05) and
supports the use of public-private partnerships for a wide variety
of purposes including the design, construction, extension,
improvement, provision, exploitation and/or operation and financing
of infrastructure development, provision of public services,
provision of productive services, investments, applied research,
technological innovation and other associated services. The
Public-Private Participation Law also includes protection
mechanisms in favor of the private sector (contractors and lenders)
in order to promote the development of these
partnerships.
●
Productive Financing Law. On
May 9, 2018, the Argentine Chamber of Deputies approved Law
No. 27,440 called “Ley
de Financiamiento Productivo”, which creates a new
financing regime for micro-, small- and medium-sized companies
(“MiPyMEs”) and modifies Capital Markets Law
No. 26,831, Investment Funds Law No. 24,083 and Law
No. 23,576, among others, and implements certain tax
provisions and regulations for derivative financial
instruments.
●
Labor reform bill. On November 18,
2017, the Executive Branch submitted a draft labor and social
security reform bill to the Argentine Chamber of Senators, intended
to formalize employment, decrease labor litigation, generate
employment, increase productivity, protect vulnerable populations
and improve worker training. As of the date of this annual report,
the draft bill has not been considered by the Argentine
Congress.
●
Fiscal consensus and fiscal liability.
On December 22, 2017, the Argentine Congress enacted the
“Fiscal Pact”, also known as the “Fiscal
Consensus”. The Fiscal Consensus includes a commitment to
lower distortive taxes by 1.5% of GDP over the next five years, a
withdrawal of lawsuits by provincial governments against the
Argentine Government and a Ps.21,000 million payment to the
Province of Buenos Aires for the year 2018 (which amount shall be
increased over the next five years) as a partial and progressive
solution to a long-standing conflict related to the Buenos Aires
Metropolitan Area Fund over the Fondo del Conurbano Bonaerense. The
Fiscal Consensus also set the basis for other policy reforms that
were implemented by the Macri administration in December 2017,
such as the tax reform, the pension system reform and the Fiscal
Responsibility Law (Ley de
Responsbilidad Fiscal). The fiscal deficit estimated for
2018 is 2.6% of 2018 GDP. The budget law for fiscal year 2019 bill
projects a balanced budget in 2019 and a primary fiscal surplus of
1.0% of GDP by 2020.
●
IMF stand-by arrangement: On
June 7, 2018, the Argentine Government entered into a US$50
billion, 36-month stand-by arrangement with the IMF, which was
approved by the IMF’s Executive Board on June 20, 2018.
As of July 31, 2018, the Argentine Government had drawn on a
first tranche of approximately US$15 billion, and the additional
available funds will be treated as precautionary. This measure was
intended to halt the significant depreciation of the peso during
the first half of 2018. On September 26, 2018, the Argentine
Government agreed with the IMF an increase in the total amount of
the StandBy agreement from US$50 billion to US$57.1 billion.
As a
result, the anticipated disbursements increased from US$6 billion
to US$13.4 billion in 2018, and from US$11.4 billion to US$22.8
billion in 2019. On October 26, 2018, the Executive Board of the
IMF completed the first review of Argentina’s economic
performance under the36-month stand-by arrangement, allowing to
draw the equivalent of US$5.7 billion, bringing total disbursements
since June 2018 to about US$20.4 billion. The Executive Board also
approved an augmentation of the stand-by arrangement to increase
access to about US$56.3 billion.
The
impact that these measures, and any future measures taken by a new
administration, will have on the Argentine economy as a whole and
the financial sector in particular cannot be predicted. Economic
liberalization may be disruptive to the economy and may fail to
benefit, or may harm, our business, financial condition and results
of operations. In particular, we have no control over the
implementation of the reforms to the regulatory framework that
governs its operations and cannot guarantee that these reforms will
be implemented or that they will be implemented in a manner that
will benefit our business. The failure of these measures to achieve
their intended goals could adversely affect the Argentine economy
and our business, financial position and results of
operations.
In this
context, as the date of this annual report, the Argentine economy
remains unstable, among others, for the following
reasons:
● a
persistent high rate of public spending and substantial fiscal
deficit;
● investments
as a percentage of GDP remain low;
● public debt
as a percentage of GDP remains high;
● the
inflation rate remains at high levels;
●
agricultural exports, which fueled the economic recovery, have been
affected by the drought and lower prices than in prior
years;
● rising of
international crude oil prices;
● the
availability of long-term credit to the private sector is
scarce;
● the current
trade deficit is high and could increase;
● the effects
of a restrictive U.S. monetary policy, which could generate an
increase in financial costs for Argentina;
●
fluctuations in the Central Bank’s monetary
reserves;
● uncertainty
with respect to the imposition of exchange and capital controls;
and
● other
political, social and economic events abroad that adversely affect
the current growth of the Argentine
economy.
A
further decline in Argentine economic growth or an increase in
economic instability could adversely affect our business, financial
condition or results of operations. As of the date of this annual
report, the impact of the Macri administration’s policies on
the Argentine economy as a whole and on the banking sector in
particular cannot be predicted. In addition, congressional
elections were held on October 22, 2017 and President
Macri’s governing coalition obtained the largest share of
votes at the national level. Although the number of coalition
members in Congress increased (holding in the aggregate 108 of a
total of 257 seats in the House of Representatives and 24 of 72
seats in the Senate), the coalition still lacks a majority in
either chamber and, as a result, some or all of the policy
proposals to promote growth of the economy (including reducing the
fiscal deficit, controlling inflation and adopting fiscal and labor
reforms) may not be implemented, which could adversely affect
continued economic growth in Argentina. Higher rates of inflation,
any decline in GDP growth rates and/or other future economic,
social and political developments in Argentina, fluctuations in the
rate of exchange of the Peso against other currencies, and a
decline in consumer confidence or foreign direct investment, among
other factors, may materially and adversely affect the development
of the Argentine economy which could adversely affect our business,
financial condition or results of operations.
Continuing inflation may have an adverse effect on the economy and
our business, financial condition and the results of our
operations.
According to the INDEC, the CPI was 10.8% in 2012, 10.9% in 2013
and 23.9% in 2014. In November 2015, the INDEC suspended the
publication of the CPI. Hence, there was not an official CPI
publication for the year 2015. An alternative CPI report was
informed by the INDEC’s official website, depicting two
alternative CPIs measurements: one published by the City of Buenos
Aires and the other by the Province of San Luis, reaching 26.9% and
31.9%, respectively. After implementing certain methodological
reforms and adjusting certain macroeconomic statistics based on
these reforms, in June 2016, INDEC resumed publishing the CPI. The
best available information for 2016 is the annual measurement of
the index of consumer prices reported by the City of Buenos Aires
of 41%. In 2017, inflation began to decrease in line with the
Central Bank’s inflation targeting policies. According to the
INDEC, the CPI increased 24.8% in 2017 and 1.8%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.7%,
2.1%, 3.7%, 3.1%, 3.9% and 6.5% for January, February, March,
April, May, June, July, August and September 2018, respectively. At
the end of 2017, Minister Dujovne announced that the CPI targets
previously set out in the 2017 budget were revised to 15% for 2018,
10% for 2019 and 5% for 2020. After agreeing to a stand-by
arrangement with the IMF in June 2018, the Argentine Government has
adjusted its CPI targets to 27% for 2018, 17% for 2019, 13% for
2020 and 9% for 2021. In August 2018, the Central Bank adjusted its
CPI targets to 40.5% for 2018, 24.5% for 2017 and 18% for 2020. On
October 8, 2018, the IMF published the “World Economic
Outlook” report, estimating an inflation rate in Argentina of
40.5% in 2018 and 20.2% in 2019. On October 25, 2018, the Argentine
Chamber of Deputies gave preliminary approval to the draft budget
for fiscal year 2019, estimating a year-on-year inflation rate of
23% for 2019, and it is expected to be treated in the Argentine
Chamber of Senators on November 14, 2018.
Historically,
high rates of inflation have undermined the Argentine economy and
the Argentine Government’s ability to foster conditions for
stable growth. High rates of inflation may also undermine
Argentina’s competitiveness in international markets and
adversely affect economic activity and employment, as well as our
business, financial condition and the results of our
operations.
High
rates of inflation would also adversely affect economic activity,
employment, real salaries, consumption and interest rates. In
addition, the dilution of the positive effects of any depreciation
of the peso on the export-oriented sectors of the Argentine economy
would decrease the level of economic activity in the country. In
turn, a portion of the Argentine Government’s outstanding
debt is adjusted by the Coeficiente de Estabilización de
Referencia (or “CER”), a currency index tied to
inflation. Therefore, any significant increase in inflation would
generate an increase in Argentina’s debt measured in pesos
and, consequently, its financial obligations.
In
recent years, the Argentine Government has taken certain measures
to contain inflation, such as implementing a fair price program
that requires supermarkets to offer certain products at a
government-determined price, and agreements with workers’
unions to implement salary increases. Additionally, the Argentine
Government enacted Law No. 26,991 (the “Supply
Law”), which empowers it to intervene in certain markets when
it considers that any market participant is trying to impose prices
or supply restrictions. The Supply Law provides among others
pecuniary sanctions, suspension, seizure of operations, and
confiscation of goods. On September 3, 2018, the Argentine
Government further strengthened the fair price program by
incorporating more basic consumer goods and places of distribution
around the country into the program.
We
cannot assure you that inflation rates will not continue to
escalate in the future or that the measures adopted or that may be
adopted by the Argentine Government to control inflation will be
effective or successful. Inflation remains a challenge for
Argentina. For example, certain objectives of the Argentine
Government, such as the increase in tariffs to incentivize
investment in the energy sector, may create inflationary pressures.
Significant inflation could have an adverse effect on
Argentina’s economy and in turn could increase our costs of
operation, in particular labor costs, and may negatively affect our
business, financial condition and the results of our operations.
See “—We depend on macroeconomic and political
conditions in Argentina”.
The Peso qualifies as a currency of a hyperinflationary economy
under IAS 29. Accordingly, we will apply IAS 29 for periods ending
after July 1, 2018 and our historical audited consolidated
financial statements and other financial information will need to
be restated.
IAS 29
requires that financial statements of any entity whose functional
currency is the currency of a hyperinflationary economy, whether
based on the historical cost method or on the current cost method,
be stated in terms of the measuring unit current at the end of the
reporting period. IAS 29 does not establish a set inflation rate
beyond which an economy is deemed to be experiencing
hyperinflation. However, hyperinflation is commonly understood to
occur when changes in price levels are close to or exceed 100% on a
cumulative basis over the prior three years, along with the
presence of several other qualitative macroeconomic
factors.
During
the six-month period ended June 30, 2018, the decreasing trend
of inflation in Argentina noted in recent prior periods reversed,
with variations in different indexes being higher than in previous
months. The total cumulative inflation in Argentina in the 36
months prior to June 30, 2018, as measured by the wholesale
price index published by the INDEC, has exceeded 100%. Qualitative
macroeconomic factors, including the depreciation of the peso in
recent months, also support the conclusion that Argentina is now a
hyper-inflationary economy for accounting purposes.
Accordingly, IAS 29 will be applicable for financial
statements included in any of our filings with the SEC under the
Securities Act or the Exchange Act for periods ending after
July 1, 2018 and, therefore, our audited consolidated
financial statements and any unaudited interim financial statements
included in this annual report will need to be adjusted by applying
a general price index and expressed in the measuring unit (the
hyperinflationary currency) current at the end of the most recent
reporting period.
Pursuant
to Decree No. 664/2003, the Argentine Government prohibited
regulatory entities of the national government, fom receiving
financial information from regulated entities that includes
adjustments for inflation, changes in costs or other variations in
taxes, prices or tariffs. In addition, Law No. 23,928
prohibits Argentine companies from including adjustments for
inflation in their financial statements. Given the current state of
Argentine law, we cannot assure you whether regulatory agencies of
the Argentine national government will require us to not apply IAS
29 to financial statements furnished to such regulators. If
regulatory agencies in Argentina require us not to apply IAS 29, or
to only apply IAS 29 to certain, but not all, of the periods
included in our audited consolidated financial statements and
unaudited interim financial statements, the audited consolidated
financial statements and any unaudited interim financial statements
included in this prospectus may not be comparable to certain of our
financial statements furnished to regulators in
Argentina.
We have
not estimated yet the impact of the application of IAS 29
provisions on our audited consolidated financial
statements.
We cannot assure that the accuracy of Argentina’s official
inflation statistics will comply with international
standards.
In
January 2007, the INDEC modified its methodology to calculate
the CPI. At the time that the INDEC adopted this change in
methodology, the Argentine Government replaced several key officers
at the INDEC, prompting complaints of governmental interference
from the technical staff at the INDEC. The IMF requested Argentina
to clarify the INDEC methodology used to calculate inflation
rates.
On
November 23, 2010, the Argentine Government began consulting
with the IMF for technical assistance in order to prepare new CPI
information with the aim of modernizing the current statistical
system. During the first quarter of 2011, a team from the IMF
started collaborating with the INDEC in order to create such an
index. Notwithstanding such efforts, subsequently published reports
by the IMF stated that its staff delivered alternative measures of
inflation for macroeconomic surveillance, including information
produced by private sources, and asserted that such measures
resulted in inflation rates considerably higher than those
published by the INDEC since 2007. Consequently, the IMF called on
Argentina to adopt measures to improve the quality of data used by
the
INDEC. In a meeting held on February 1, 2013, the Executive
Board of the IMF emphasized that the progress in implementing
remedial measures since September 2012 had been insufficient.
As a result, the IMF issued a declaration of censure against
Argentina in connection with the breach of its related obligations
and called on Argentina to adopt remedial measures to address the
inaccuracy of inflation and GDP data
immediately.
In
order to address the quality of official data, a new consumer price
index (the “IPCNu”), was enacted on February 13,
2014. Inflation as measured by the IPCNu was 23.9% in 2014, 31.6%
in 2015 and 31.4% in 2016. The IPCNu represents the first national
indicator in Argentina to measure changes in prices of household
goods for final consumption. While the previous price index only
measured inflation in the Greater Buenos Aires area, the IPCNu is
calculated by measuring prices of goods in the main urban centers
of the 23 provinces of Argentina and the City of Buenos Aires. On
December 15, 2014, the IMF recognized the evolution of
Argentine authorities to remedy the provision of data, but delayed
the definitive evaluation of the new price index.
On
January 8, 2016, based on its determination that the INDEC
historically failed to issue reliable statistical information, the
Macri administration issued a necessity and urgency decree
suspending the publication of statistical information. The INDEC
suspended all publications of statistical information until the
process of technical reorganization was completed and the
administrative structure of the INDEC was recomposed. At the end of
this process of reorganization and recovery, the INDEC gradually
began to publish official information. The INDEC recalculated
historical GDP and the revised measurements showed that the GDP
increased 2.4% in 2013, contracted 2.5% in 2014, increased 2.7% in
2015, and contracted 1.8% in 2016.
On
November 9, 2016, the IMF, after analyzing the progress made
with respect to the accuracy of official statistics regarding the
CPI, decided to lift the censorship imposed in 2013, and determined
that the Argentine CPI currently complies with international
standards. However, we cannot assure you that such inaccuracy
regarding official economic indicators will not recur. If despite
the changes introduced by the Macri administration these
differences between the figures published by the INDEC and those
registered by private consultants persist, there could be a
significant loss of confidence in the Argentine economy, which
could adversely affect our business, financial condition and the
results of our operations.
High levels of public spending in Argentina could generate long
lasting adverse consequences for the Argentine
economy.
During
recent years, the Argentine Government has substantially increased
public spending. In 2015, government spending increased by 34.4% as
compared to 2014, resulting in a primary fiscal deficit of 3.8% of
GDP. In 2016, government spending increased by 42.8% as compared to
2015, resulting in a primary fiscal deficit of 4.2% of GDP. In
2017, government spending increased by 25.9% as compared to 2016,
resulting in a primary fiscal deficit of 3.8% of GDP. If government
spending continues to outpace revenues, the fiscal deficit is
likely to increase and past sources of funding to address such
deficit, such as the Central Bank and the Administración
Nacional de la Seguridad Social (“ANSES”) may be
utilized.
Any
such increasing deficit could have a negative effect on the
Argentine Government’s ability to access the long-term
financial markets, and in turn, could limit the access to such
markets for Argentine companies, which could adversely affect our
business, financial condition and the results of our
operations.
Argentina’s ability to obtain financing in the international
capital markets is limited, which may impair its ability to
implement reforms and public policies and foster economic
growth.
Argentina
has had limited access to foreign financing in recent years,
primarily as a result of a default in December 2001 by
Argentina on its debt to foreign bondholders, multilateral
financial institutions and other financial institutions.
Argentina’s 2001 default and its failure to fully restructure
its sovereign debt and negotiate with the holdout creditors has
limited and may continue to limit Argentina’s ability to
access international capital markets. In 2005, Argentina completed
the restructuring of a substantial portion of its defaulted
sovereign indebtedness and settled all of its debt with the IMF.
Additionally, in June 2010, Argentina completed the
renegotiation of approximately 67% of the principal amount of the
defaulted bonds outstanding that were not swapped in the 2005
restructuring. As a result of the 2005 and 2010 debt swaps,
Argentina has restructured approximately 92.1% of its defaulted
debt that was eligible for restructuring (the “Debt
Exchanges”). Holdout creditors that had declined to
participate in the exchanges commenced numerous lawsuits against
Argentina in several countries, including the United
States, Italy, Germany, and Japan.
As a
result of the litigation filed by holdout bondholders and their
related efforts to attach Argentina’s sovereign property
located in the United States and other jurisdictions,
Argentina’s ability to access the international capital
markets was severely limited. In February 2016, the Argentine
Government agreed with a group of Italian bondholders to pay in
cash the total principal amount of debt owed to such holders. In
mid-2016, the Argentine Government emerged from default and paid
US$900 million to the approximately 50,000 Italian bondholders who
owned government securities with defaulted payments part
due.
During
February 2016, U.S. federal court special master Daniel
Pollack ratified an agreement between the Argentine Government and
the holdout creditors led by Elliot Management, Aurelius Capital,
Davidson Kempner and Bracebridge Capital funds providing for a
US$4.65 billion payment in respect of defaulted sovereign bonds,
representing a 25% discount to the total principal amount of
principal and interest due on the defaulted bonds, as well as
attorney fees and expenses incurred. This agreement stipulated that
the terms of the settlement be approved by the Argentine Congress,
and that Law No. 26,017 (the “Padlock Law”) and
the Sovereign Payment Law be repealed.
In
March 2016, the Argentine Government submitted a bill to
Congress seeking authorization to consummate the settlement, which
was approved on April 1, 2016, by enactment of Law
No. 27,249 pursuant to which, the Argentine Government was
authorized to pay in cash up to US$11.6 billion to the holdout
bondholders. The proceeds for such payment were raised through an
issuance of sovereign debt in the international capital markets.
Among other provisions, the new law repealed the Padlock Law and
Sovereign Payment Law.
At the
beginning of April 2016, special master Daniel Pollack
announced that the Argentine Government had reached agreements with
additional holdout bondholders. As a result, the Argentine
Government has reached agreements with nearly 90% of the debt
holders that did not participate in the 2005 and 2010 bond exchange
transactions. On April 13, 2016, the Court of Appeals lifted
the restrictions on Argentina to fulfill its debt obligations. In
April 2016, the Argentine Government issued US$16.4 billion
principal amount of bonds. On April 22, 2016, the Argentine
Government paid amounts due under the agreement and the U.S. courts
removed all previously issued sanctions and injunctions. From
December 31, 2015 to December 31, 2017, Argentina’s
sovereign debt increased by US$80.3 billion, according to the
Ministry of the Treasury.
As of
the date of this annual report, proceedings initiated by holdouts
and other international creditors that did not accept
Argentina’s payment offer continue in several jurisdictions,
although the size of the claims involved has declined considerably.
The potential consequences of final judgments from courts in
various jurisdictions are unclear and further adverse rulings could
adversely affect the Argentine Government’s ability to issue
debt securities or obtain favorable terms when the need to access
the international capital markets arises, and consequently, our own
capacity to access these markets could also be
limited.
Foreign shareholders of companies operating in Argentina have
initiated investment arbitration proceedings against
Argentina that have resulted and
could result in arbitral awards and/or injunctions against
Argentina and its assets and, in turn, limit its financial
resources.
In
response to the emergency measures implemented by the Argentine
Government during the 2001-2002 economic crisis, a number of claims
were filed before the International Centre for Settlement of
Investment Disputes (“ICSID”), against Argentina.
Claimants allege that the emergency measures were inconsistent with
the fair and equitable treatment standards set forth in various
bilateral investment treaties by which Argentina was bound at the
time.
Claimants
have also filed claims before arbitral tribunals under the
rules of the United Nations Commission on International Trade
Law, or “UNCITRAL,” and under the rules of the
International Chamber of Commerce (ICC). As of the date of this
annual report, it is not certain that Argentina will prevail in
having any or all of these cases dismissed, or that if awards in
favor of the plaintiffs are granted, that it will succeed in having
those awards annulled. Ongoing claims before the ICSID tribunal and
other arbitral tribunals could lead to new awards against
Argentina, which could have an adverse effect on our capacity to
access to the international capital markets.
The amendment of the Central Bank’s Charter and the
Convertibility Law may adversely affect the Argentine
economy.
On
March 22, 2012, the Argentine Congress passed Law
No. 26,739, which amended the Charter of the Central Bank and
Law No. 23,298 (the “Convertibility Law”). This
law amends the objectives of the Central Bank (established in its
Charter) and includes a mandate focused on promoting social equity
programs in addition to developing monetary policy and financial
stability.
A key
component of the Central Bank Charter amendment relates to the use
of international reserves. Pursuant to this amendment, Central Bank
reserves may be made available to the Argentine Government for the
repayment of debt or to finance public expenditures. During 2013,
U.S. dollar reserves held at the Central Bank decreased to US$30.6
billion from US$43.3 billion in 2012, while during 2014 reserves
increased to US$31.4 billion. The Central Bank’s foreign
currency reserves were US$25.6 billion as of December 31,
2015, US$39.3 billion as of December 30, 2016, US$55.1 billion
as of December 29, 2017 and US$52.7 billion as of
August 31, 2018.
The
Argentine Government’s use of Central Bank reserves to repay
debt or to finance public expenditures may make the Argentine
economy more vulnerable to higher rates of inflation or external
shocks, which could adversely affect our business, financial
condition and the results of our operations.
Significant fluctuations in the value of the Peso may adversely
affect the Argentine economy as well as our financial
performance.
Despite
the positive effects of the depreciation of the peso in 2002 on the
competitiveness of certain sectors of the economy, depreciation has
had a negative impact on the ability of Argentine businesses to
honor their foreign currency-denominated debt obligations,
initially resulting in high rates of inflation and significantly
reduced real wages, which has had a negative impact on businesses
that depend on domestic demand, such as utilities and the financial
industry, and has adversely affected the Argentine
Government’s ability to honor its foreign
currency-denominated debt obligations.
Since
the strengthening of foreign exchange controls began in late 2011,
and upon introduction of measures that gave private companies and
individuals limited access to foreign currency, the implied peso
exchange rate, as reflected in the quotations for Argentine
securities that trade in foreign markets compared to the
corresponding quotations in the local market, increased
significantly compared to the official exchange rate.
In
2015, the U.S. dollar to peso exchange rate increased 53% as
compared to 2014. In 2016, the U.S. dollar to peso exchange rate
increased 22% as compared to 2015. In 2017, the U.S. dollar to peso
exchange rate increased 18% as compared to 2016. This trend
continued in the first few months of 2018, with an increase of 7%
from December 31, 2017 to March 31, 2018. Further, the U.S. dollar
to peso exchange rate increased approximately 97.7%, from Ps.20.69
in April 27, 2018 to Ps.40.90 as of September 28, 2018. On October
25, 2018, the Argentine Chamber of Deputies gave preliminary
approval to the draft budget for fiscal year 2019, estimating an
average exchange rate of Ps.40.10 for US$1.00 in 2019, Ps.44.30 for
US$1.00 in 2020, Ps.48.20 for US$1.00 in 2021 and Ps.50.50 for
US$1.00 in 2022, and it is expected to be treated in the Argentine
Chamber of Senators on November 14, 2018.
As a
result of the significant depreciation of the peso against the U.S.
dollar, on October 11, 2018 the Central Bank increased the monetary
policy rate to 72.73% aiming to attract investments in this
currency. This high interest rate deteriorates the conditions for
accessing credit by individuals and legal entities, producing an
increase in debt levels paid off, which could adversely affect our
business, financial condition and the results of our
operations.
In
addition, high interest rates in pesos may not be sustainable in
the medium term, which could affect the level of economic activity
reducing consumption. As a result, a contraction in GDP is expected
for 2018.
A
significant further depreciation of the peso against the U.S.
dollar could have an adverse effect on the ability of Argentine
companies to make timely payments on their debts denominated,
indexed or otherwise connected to a foreign currency, could
generate very high inflation rates, reduce real salaries
significantly, and have an adverse effect on companies focused on
the domestic market, such as public utilities and the financial
industry. Such a potential depreciation could also adversely affect
the Argentine Government’s capacity to honor its foreign
debt, which could affect our capacity to meet obligations
denominated in a foreign currency which, in turn, could have an
adverse effect on our business, financial condition and the results
of our operations . While certain of our office leases are set in
U.S. dollars, we are only partially protected against depreciation
of the Peso and there can be no assurance we will be able to
maintain our U.S. dollar-denominated leases.
In
addition, on June 7, 2018, the Argentine Government entered into a
US$50 billion 36-month stand-by arrangement with the IMF, which was
approved by the IMF’s Executive Board on June 20, 2018. The
Argentine Government has drawn on a first tranche of approximately
US$15 billion, and the additional available funds will be treated
as precautionary. This measure was intended to halt the significant
depreciation of the peso during the first half of 2018. On
September 26, 2018, the Argentine Government agreed with the IMF an
increase the total amount of the stand-by agreement from US$50
billion to US$57.1 billion. Consequently, disbursements are
expected to increase from US$6 billion to US$13.4 billion in 2018,
and from US$11.4 billion to US$22.8 billion in 2019. On October 26,
2018, the Executive Board of the IMF completed the first review of
Argentina’s economic performance under the36-month stand-by
arrangement, allowing to draw the equivalent of US$5.7 billion,
bringing total disbursements since June 2018 to about US$20.4
billion. The Executive Board also approved an augmentation of the
stand-by arrangement to increase access to about US$56.3
billion.
On
September 26, 2018, the Central Bank announced a new monetary
policy scheme aiming to lowering the inflation rate by adopting the
following measures: (i) no increase in the level of the monetary
base until June 2019, when it will be adjusted with the seasonality
of December 2018 and June 2019; (ii) maintenance of the monetary
policy rate at 60% until the deceleration of inflation rate is
taking place; (iii) implementation of a floating exchange rate with
intervention and non-intervention zones for the U.S. dollar
exchange rate between Ps.34 and Ps.44, with daily adjustment at a
rate of 3% per month until the end of 2018 and its revision at the
beginning of 2019, intervening in the purchase or sale of foreign
currency for up to US$150 million per day to the extent that the
exchange rate reaches the established upper or lower
bound.
A
substantial appreciation of the peso against the U.S. dollar could
negatively impact the financial condition of entities whose foreign
currency-denominated assets exceed their foreign
currency-denominated liabilities. In addition, in the short-term, a
significant real appreciation of the peso would adversely affect
exports and could result in a slowdown in economic growth. This
could have a negative effect on GDP growth and employment as well
as reduce the Argentine public sector’s revenues by reducing
tax collection in real terms, given its current heavy reliance on
taxes on exports. As a result, the appreciation of the peso against
the U.S. dollar could also have an adverse effect on the Argentine
economy and, in turn, our business, financial condition and the
results of our operations.
Certain measures that may be taken by the Argentine Government may
adversely affect the Argentine economy and, as a result, our
business and the results of our operations.
Prior
to December 2015, the Argentine Government accelerated its
direct intervention in the economy through the implementation or
amendment of laws and regulations, including with respect to
nationalizations and/or expropriations; restrictions on production,
imports and exports; foreign exchange and/or transfer restrictions;
direct and indirect price controls; tax increases, changes in the
interpretation or application of tax laws and other retroactive tax
claims or challenges; cancellation of contract rights; and delays
or denials of governmental approvals, among others.
In
November 2008, the Argentine Government enacted Law
No. 26,425 which provided for the nationalization of the
Administradoras de Fondos de Jubilaciones y Pensiones (the
“AFJPs”). In April 2012, the Argentine Government
nationalized YPF S.A. and imposed major changes to the system under
which oil companies operate, principally through the enactment of
Law No. 26,714 and Decree No. 1,277/2012. In
February 2014, the Argentine Government and Repsol S.A. (the
former principal shareholder of YPF S.A.) announced that they had
reached an agreement on the compensation payable to Repsol S.A. for
the expropriation of YPF S.A. of US$5 billion payable in Argentine
sovereign bonds with various maturities. On April 23, 2014,
the agreement with Repsol S.A. was approved by the Argentine
Congress and on May 8, 2014, Repsol S.A. received the relevant
Argentine Government bonds. On July 10, 2018, the United
States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit affirmed a U.S.
federal trial court decision, finding that Burford Capital
Ltd’s claim for more than US$3 billion in damages against the
Argentine government in connection with the nationalization of YPF
S.A. is subject to the jurisdiction of the U.S. federal courts. The
claim by Burford Capital Ltd. has been referred to the trial court
for substantive proceedings.
There
are other examples of intervention by the Argentine Government. In
December 2012 and August 2013, Argentine Congress
established new regulations relating to domestic capital markets.
The regulations generally provided for increased Argentine
Government intervention in the capital markets authorizing, for
example, the CNV to appoint observers with the ability to veto the
decisions of the board of directors of publicly listed companies
under certain circumstances and to suspend the board of directors
for a period of up to 180 days. However, on May 9, 2018, the
Argentine Congress approved Law No. 27,440, which introduced
modifications to the Capital Markets Law, including the removal of
the CNV’s power to appoint supervisors with powers of veto
over resolutions adopted by a company’s board of
directors.
We cannot assure you that these or similar and other measures to be
adopted by the Argentine Government, such as expropriation,
nationalization, forced renegotiation or modification of existing
contracts, new tax policies, modification of laws, regulations and
policies that affect foreign trade, investment, among others, will
not have an adverse effect on the Argentine economy and, as a
consequence, adversely affect our business, financial condition and
the results of our operations.
The Argentine Government may mandate salary increases for private
sector employees, which would increase our operating
costs.
In the
past, the Argentine Government has passed laws, regulations and
decrees requiring companies in the private sector to maintain
minimum wage levels and provide specified benefits to employees. In
the aftermath of the Argentine economic crisis, employers both in
the public and private sectors experienced significant pressure
from their employees and labor unions to increase wages and provide
additional employee benefits. In August 2012, the Argentine
Government established a 25% increase in the minimum monthly salary
to Ps.2,875, effective as of February 2013. The Argentine
Government increased the minimum monthly salary to Ps.3,300 in
August 2013, to Ps.3,600 in January 2014, to Ps.4,400 in September
2014, to Ps.4,716 in January 2015, to Ps.5,588 in August 2015 and
to Ps.6,060 as of January 2016. In May 2016, the Argentine
Government announced a 33% increase in the minimum monthly salary
to be implemented in three installments as follows: Ps.8,060 as of
July 1, 2017, Ps.9,500 as of January 1, 2018 and Ps.10,000 in July
2018, an increase of 24% compared to the prior minimum. On August
8, 2018, the National Council for Employment, Productivity and
Minimum Wage (Consejo Nacional del Empleo, la Productividad y el
Salario M’nimo, Vital y Móvil), summoned by the National
Labor Ministry, issued Resolution No. 3/2018 increasing the minimum
monthly salary in four installments as follows: Ps.10,700 as of
September 1, 2018, Ps.11,300 as of December 1, 2018, Ps.11,900 as
of March 1, 2019 and Ps.12,500 as of June 2019, an increase of 25%
compared to the prior minimum.
It is
possible that the Argentine Government could adopt measures
mandating further salary increases and/or the provision of
additional employee benefits in the future. Any such measures could
have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial
condition and the results of our operations. On February 14, 2018,
the INDEC published new data regarding the evolution of private and
public-sector salaries. The total salaries index registered a
growth of 27.5% during 2017, as a result of the 26.5% increase in
salaries of the formal private sector and an increase of 31.5% in
the informal private sector.
Property values in Argentina could decline
significantly.
Property
values are influenced by multiple factors that are beyond our
control, such as a decrease in the demand for real estate
properties due to a deterioration of macroeconomic conditions or an
increase in supply of real estate properties that could adversely
affect the value of real estate properties. We cannot assure you
that property values will increase or that they will not be
reduced. Many of the properties we own are located in Argentina. As
a result, a reduction in the value of properties in Argentina could
materially affect our business and our financial statements due to
the valuation of our investment properties at fair market
value.
Restrictions on transfers of foreign currency and the repatriation
of capital from Argentina may impair our ability to pay dividends
and distributions.
According
to Argentine practices, the Argentine government may impose
restrictions on the exchange of Argentine currency into foreign
currencies and on the remittance to foreign investors of proceeds
from investments in Argentina in circumstances where a serious
imbalance develops in Argentina’s balance of payments or
where there are reasons to foresee such an imbalance. Beginning in
December 2001, the Argentine government implemented a number of
monetary and foreign exchange control measures that included
restrictions on the free disposition of funds deposited with banks
and on the transfer of funds abroad without prior approval by the
Central Bank. With the administration of President Macri, many of
the former restrictions were lifted.
On
January 7, 2003, the Central Bank issued communication
“A” 3859, as amended, which is still in force and
pursuant to which there are no limitations on companies’
ability to purchase foreign currency and transfer it outside
Argentina to pay dividends, provided that those dividends arise
from net earnings corresponding to approved and audited financial
statements. The transfer of funds abroad by local companies to pay
annual dividends only to foreign shareholders, based on approved
and fully audited financial statements, does not require formal
approval by the Central Bank.
Notwithstanding
the above, for many years, and as a consequence of a decrease in
availability of U.S. dollars in Argentina, the previous Argentine
government imposed informal restrictions on certain local companies
and individuals for purchasing foreign currency. These restrictions
on foreign currency purchases started in October 2011 and tightened
thereafter. As a result of these informal restrictions, local
residents and companies were prevented from purchasing foreign
currency through the MULC for the purpose of making payments
abroad, such as dividends, capital reductions, and payment for
imports of goods and services.
Such
restrictions and other foreign exchange control measures were
lifted by the new administration, moving towards opening
Argentina’s foreign exchange market. In this sense, on
December 17, 2015, Communication “A” 5850 of the
Central Bank reestablished the possibility for non-residents to
repatriate their investment capital and, Communication
“A” 6037 of the Central Bank defined the new
regulations that apply to the acquisition of foreign currency and
the elimination of all other restrictions that impair residents and
non-residents to have access to the foreign exchange market.
However, in the future, the Argentine government or the Central
Bank may impose formal restrictions to the payment of dividends
abroad, on capital transfers and establish additional requirements.
Such measures may negatively affect Argentina’s international
competitiveness, discouraging foreign investments and lending by
foreign investors or increasing foreign capital outflow which could
have an adverse effect on economic activity in Argentina, and which
in turn could adversely affect our business and results of
operations. Furthermore, any restrictions on transferring funds
abroad imposed by the government could undermine our ability to pay
dividends on our GDSs in U.S. dollars.
Exchange controls and restrictions on transfers abroad and capital
inflow restrictions, if re-imposed, could limit the availability of
international credit.
Until
December 2015, there were many foreign exchange restrictions
and controls that limited access to the MULC. However, in
December 2015, the Macri administration announced certain
reforms to the foreign exchange market with the intention of
providing greater flexibility and ease of access to the foreign
exchange market for individuals and private sector entities. On
December 16, 2015, the Central Bank issued Communication
“A” 5850, lifting most of the restrictions then in
place. Among these measures, free access to the MULC was granted
for the purchase of foreign currency intended for general purposes,
without the need for obtaining the Central Bank’s or the
Administración Federal de Ingresos Públicos (the
“AFIP”) previous consent, and the requirement to
deposit 30% of certain capital inflows into Argentina was
eliminated. Towards the end of 2016, the remaining exchange control
restrictions were also lifted when the Central Bank issued
Communications “A” 6037
and “A” 6150, thereby granting free access to the MULC.
Pursuant to Resolution E 1/2017 of the Ministry of Treasury and
Communication “A” 6,150 modified by Communication
“A” 6,244 of the Central Bank, the obligation requiring
non-residents who make portfolio investments in the country aimed
at holding private sector financial assets to maintain for a period
of 120 days the funds in the country was abolished. Pursuant to
this resolution and the Central Bank Communication “A”
6,244, and its amendments, there are no restrictions on entry and
exit in the MULC. Accordingly, due to lifting most of the
restrictions to access to the MULC, the Central Bank eliminated the
obligation to enter and settle funds in foreign currency originated
from the export of services to non-residents through the MULC, to
the extent that they are not part of the Free On Board
(“FOB”) value and/or Cost, Insurance and Freight
(“CIF”) of assets exported, eliminated the requirement
of a minimum holding period of 72 business hours in relation to the
purchase and sale of public securities authorized to trade on the
different local and international stock markets, and eliminated the
requirement of compulsory entry and liquidation of flows resulting
from external debt, including principal and interests. However, the
results of capital inflows in the exchange market must be acredited
on an account opened by a local financial institution.
Although
the Macri administration eliminated such restrictions, we cannot
assure you that foreign exchange regulations will not be amended,
or that new regulations will not be enacted in the future imposing
greater limitations on funds flowing into and out of the Argentine
foreign exchange market. Any such new measures, as well as any
additional controls and/or restrictions, could materially affect
our ability to access the international capital markets and, may
undermine our ability to make payments of principal and/or interest
on our obligations denominated in a foreign currency or transfer
funds abroad to make payments on our obligations (which could
affect our financial condition and results of operations).
Therefore, Argentine resident or non-resident investors should take
special notice of these regulations (and their amendments) that
limit access to the foreign exchange market. In the future we may
be prevented from making payments in U.S. dollars and/or making
payments outside of
Argentina due to the restrictions in place at that time in the
foreign exchange market and/or due to the restrictions on the
ability of companies to transfer funds abroad
The Argentine economy could be adversely affected by political and
economic developments in other global markets.
Financial
and securities markets in Argentina are influenced, to varying
degrees, by economic and market conditions in other global markets.
The international scenario shows contradictory signals of global
growth, as well as high financial and exchange uncertainty.
Although such conditions may vary from country to country, investor
reactions to events occurring in one country may affect capital
flows to issuers in other countries, and consequently affect the
trading prices of their securities. Decreased capital inflows and
lower prices in the securities market of a country may have an
adverse effect on the real economy of those countries in the form
of higher interest rates and foreign exchange
volatility.
During
periods of uncertainty in international markets, investors
generally choose to invest in high-quality assets (“flight to
quality”) over emerging market assets. This has caused and
could continue to cause an adverse impact on the Argentine economy
and could continue to adversely affect the country’s economy
in the near future. On June 20, 2018, MSCI Inc., a leading
provider of indexes and portfolio construction and risk management
tools and services for global investors (“MSCI”),
reclassified and promoted Argentina to emerging markets status
after being dropped to frontier status in May 2009. The MSCI
Argentina Index will be included in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index
in May 2019. However, MSCI will continue to restrict the
inclusion in the index to only foreign listings of Argentinian
companies, such as American Depositary Receipts, as the feedback
from international institutional investors stated that higher
liquidity across the domestic market is needed before considering a
shift from offshore to onshore listings. MSCI will reevaluate this
decision as liquidity conditions on the BYMA continue to
improve.
Most
emerging economies have been affected by the change in the U.S.
monetary policy, resulting in the sharp unwinding of speculative
asset positions, depreciations and increased volatility in the
value of their currencies and higher interest rates. The general
appreciation of the U.S. dollar resulting from a more restrictive
U.S. monetary policy contributed to the fall of the international
price of raw materials, increasing the difficulties of emerging
countries which are exporters of these products. There is global
uncertainty about the degree of economic recovery in the United
States, with no substantial positive signals from other developed
countries and an increased risk of a general deceleration in
developing countries, specifically China, which is the main
importer of Argentine commodities. Moreover, the recent challenges
faced by the European Union to stabilize certain of its member
economies, such as Greece, have had international implications
affecting the stability of global financial markets, which has
hindered economies worldwide. The Eurozone finance ministers, at a
meeting held in August 2015, agreed a third bailout deal for
Greece, which required the approval of several countries such as
Germany, one of its main creditors.
Although
economic conditions vary from country to country, investors’
perception of the events occurring in one country may substantially
affect capital flows into other countries. International
investors’ reactions to events occurring in one market
sometimes demonstrate a “contagion” effect in which an
entire region or class of investment is disfavored by international
investors. Argentina could be adversely affected by negative
economic or financial developments in other countries, which in
turn may have an adverse effect on our financial condition and the
results of our operations. Lower capital inflows and declining
securities prices negatively affect the real economy of a country
through higher interest rates or currency volatility. The Argentine
economy was adversely impacted by the political and economic events
that occurred in several emerging economies in the 1990s, including
those in Mexico in 1994, the collapse of several Asian economies
between 1997 and 1998, the economic crisis in Russia in 1998 and
the Brazilian depreciation in January 1999.
Likewise, the “flight to quality” has also affected
Argentina, causing a deterioration of its sovereign spread that
reached 783 basis points on September 4, 2018, based on the J.P.
Morgan EMBI+ Index, worseningthe conditions for accessing new
external financing. On October 26, 2018, the Argentine country risk
index reached 670 basis points by.
Argentina
is affected by economic conditions of its major trade partners,
such as Brazil, which devalued its currency in early
February 2015, causing the Brazilian real to suffer the
steepest depreciation in over a decade.
Brazil,
which is Argentina’s main trading partner, has experienced
GDP contraction in recent years (3.5% in 2015 and 3.5% in 2016).
Although Brazil’s economic outlook seems to be improving, a
further deterioration of economic activity, a delay in
Brazil’s expected economic recovery or a slower pace of
economic improvement in Brazil may have a negative impact on
Argentine exports and on the overall level of economic and
industrial activity in Argentina, particularly with respect to the
automotive industry. In February 2016, Standard &
Poor’s downgraded Brazil’s credit rating to BB. In
December 2015 and February 2016, Fitch Ratings and
Moody’s, respectively, also downgraded Brazil’s credit
ratings to BB+ and Ba2, respectively. In 2017, Brazil experienced a
slight increase in its GDP, increasing by 1.0%. If the Brazilian
economy’s current recovery stalls or once again deteriorates,
the demand for Argentine exports may be adversely impacted.
In
turn, on October 28, 2018, the presidential elections were held in
Brazil, with the conservative candidate Jair Bolsonaro as the
winner in the final round with 55.1% of the votes, who will take
office on January 1, 2019. We can not predict the impact on the
global economy, and particularly in Argentina, of the policies of
the Bolsonaro´s administration and, consequently, the results
of our business, financial condition and the results of our
operations.
Moreover,
Argentina may be affected by other countries that have influence
over world economic cycles, such as the United States or China. In
particular, China, which is the main importer of Argentine
commodities, saw the yuan depreciate since the end of 2015, which
has adversely affected companies with substantial exposure to that
country. Depreciation of the yuan continued during 2016, and
Chinese economic growth slowed in 2016 and 2017. The slowdown of
the Chinese economy and increased volatility of its financial
markets could impact financial markets worldwide, which, in turn,
could increase the cost and availability of financing both
domestically and internationally for Argentine companies. Starting
in April 2018, the U.S. imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum
imports from China, as well as Canada and countries in the European
Union. On July 6, 2018, the United States imposed 25% tariffs on
US$34 billion worth of Chinese goods, which then led China to
respond with similarly sized tariffs on United States’
products. On July 10, 2018, the Office of the U.S. Trade
Representative (USTR) announced a 10% tax on a US$200 billion list
of 5,745 Chinese products, implemented as of September 24, 2018.
Also, on September 18, 2018, the Chinese government announced a 5%
to 10% tax on a US$60 billion list of 5,207 American goods,
implemented as of September 24, 2018. A new global economic and/or
financial crisis or the effects of deterioration in the current
international context, could affect the Argentine economy and,
consequently, the results of our operations, financial condition
and the trading price for our GDSs.
If
interest rates rise significantly in developed economies, including
the United States, Argentina and other emerging market economies
could find it more difficult and expensive to borrow capital and
refinance existing debt, which would negatively affect their
economic growth. In addition, if these developing countries, which
are also Argentina’s trade partners, fall into a recession;
the Argentine economy would be affected by a decrease in exports.
All of these factors could have a negative impact on us, our
business, operations, financial condition and
prospects.
In a
non-binding referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership in
the European Union on June 23, 2016, a majority of those who
voted approved the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the
European Union. Any withdrawal by the United Kingdom from the
European Union (referred to as “Brexit”) would occur
after, or possible concurrently with, a process of negotiation
regarding the future terms of the United Kingdom’s
relationship with the European Union, which could result in the
United Kingdom losing access to certain aspects of the single EU
market and the global trade deals negotiated by the European Union
on behalf of its members. Negotiations for the exit of the United
Kingdom began in early 2017 and the probable date for the departure
is March 2019. As a result of Brexit, London could cease to be the
financial center of Europe and some banks have already announced
their intention to transfer many jobs to continental Europe and
Ireland and have indicated that Germany could replace London as the
financial center of Europe. The possible negative consequences of
Brexit include an economic crisis in the United Kingdom, a
short-term recession and a decrease of investments in public
services and foreign investment. The greatest impact of Brexit
would be on the United Kingdom, however the impact may also be
significant to the other member states.
As for
Argentina, the consequences of Brexit are linked to the weakening
of the pound and the euro, which has led to a significant
appreciation of the U.S. dollar worldwide. An appreciation of the
U.S. dollar and increased risk aversion could lead to a negative
effect on the price of raw materials, which would be reflected in
the products that Argentina exports to Europe. Another direct
consequence of “Brexit” could be a decrease in prices
of most commodities, a factor that could affect Argentina if prices
stay low in the long term. Bilateral trade could also suffer, but
would not be material, as the United Kingdom currently only
represents approximately 1% of Argentina’s total imports and
exports. In addition, it is possible that Brexit could complicate
Argentina’s ability to issue additional debt in the
international capital markets, as funding would be more
expensive.
Donald
Trump was elected president on November 8, 2016 and took
office on January 20, 2017. The election of the new
administration has generated volatility in the global capital
markets. The new administration has implemented a
comprehensive tax reform and has begun implementing more
protectionist policies. The U.S. Federal Reserve recently increased
the U.S. federal funds target rate, which has created additional
volatility in the U.S. and the international markets. Changes in
social, political, regulatory, and economic conditions in the
United States or in laws and policies governing foreign trade could
create uncertainty in the international markets and could have a
negative impact on emerging market economies, including the
Argentine economy, which in turn could adversely affect our
business, financial condition and results of operations. The effect
of these protectionist policies in the global economy remains
uncertain.
Global
economic conditions may also result in depreciation of regional
currencies and exchange rates, including the Peso, which would
likely also cause volatility in Argentina. The effect of global
economic conditions on Argentina could reduce exports and foreign
direct investment, resulting in a decline in tax revenues and a
restriction on access to the international capital markets, which
could adversely affect our business, financial condition and
results of operations. A new global economic and/or financial
crisis or the effects of deterioration in the current international
context, could affect the Argentine economy and, consequently, our
results of operations, financial condition and the trading price
for our GDSs.
A decline in the international prices for Argentina’s main
commodity exports or appreciation of the peso against the U.S.
dollar could affect the Argentine economy and adversely affect the
foreign exchange market, and have an adverse effect on our business
financial condition and results of operations.
High
commodity prices have contributed significantly to the increase in
Argentine exports since the third quarter of 2002 as well as in
government revenues from export taxes. However, this reliance on
the export of commodities, such as soy, has made the Argentine
economy more vulnerable to fluctuations in their prices. For
example, the average monthly price of soybeans has decreased from
US$684 per metric ton in August 2012 to US$404 per metric ton in
August in July 2018. If international commodity prices decline, the
Argentine Government’s revenues would decrease significantly,
which could adversely affect Argentina’s economic
activity.
In
addition, adverse weather conditions can affect agricultural
production, which accounts for a significant portion of
Argentina’s export revenues. In 2018, Agentina suffered a
severe drought, resulting in a year-on-year contraction of GDP of
4.2% in the second quarter of 2018, mainly as a result of the
year-on-year decrease of 31.6% in the agricultural, livestock,
hunting and forestry sectors. These circumstances could have a
negative impact on the levels of government revenues, available
foreign exchange and the Argentine Government’s ability to
service its sovereign debt, and could either generate recessionary
or inflationary pressures, depending on the Argentine
Government’s reaction. Either of these results would
adversely impact Argentina’s economy growth and, therefore,
our business, financial condition and results of
operations.
A
significant increase in the real appreciation of the peso could
affect Argentina’s competitiveness, substantially affecting
exports, and this in turn could prompt new recessionary pressures
on the country’s economy and a new imbalance in the foreign
exchange market, which could lead to a high degree of volatility in
the exchange rate. More importantly, in the short term, a
significant appreciation of the real exchange rate could
substantially reduce Argentine public sector’s tax revenues
in real terms, given the strong reliance on taxes on exports
(withholdings). The occurrence of the foregoing could lead to
higher inflation and potentially materially and adversely affect
the Argentine economy, as well as our business, financial condition
and results of operations.
Restrictions on the supply of energy could negatively affect
Argentina’s economy.
As a
result of prolonged recession and the forced conversion of energy
tariffs into pesos and subsequent freeze of natural gas and
electricity tariffs in Argentina, there has been a lack of
investment in natural gas and electricity supply and transport
capacity in Argentina in recent years. At the same time, demand for
natural gas and electricity has increased substantially, driven by
a recovery in economic conditions and price constraints, which
prompted the Argentine Government to adopt a series of measures
that have resulted in industry shortages and/or higher costs. In
particular, Argentina has been importing natural gas to compensate
for shortages in local production. In order to pay for natural gas
imports the Argentine Government has frequently used Central Bank
reserves given the absence of foreign direct investment. If the
Argentine Government is unable to pay for imports of natural gas,
economic activity, business and industries may be adversely
affected.
The
Argentine Government has taken a number of measures to alleviate
the short-term impact of energy shortages on residential and
industrial users. If these measures prove to be insufficient, or if
the investment required to increase natural gas production and
electric energy transportation capacity and generation over the
medium- and long-term is not available, economic activity in
Argentina could be curtailed, and with it our operations. As a
first
step of these measures, a series of tariff increases and subsidy
reductions (primarily applicable to industries and high-income
consumers) were implemented. On December 17, 2015, and after
publication of Decree No. 134/2015, the Macri administration
declared the National Electricity System Emergency until
December 31, 2017 and ordered the Ministry of Energy and
Mining to propose measures and guarantee the electrical supply.
Ministry of Energy and Mining Resolution No. 06/2016 of
January 2016 set new seasonal reference prices for power and
energy on the Mercado Eléctronico Mayorista (MEM) for the
period from February 1, 2016 to April 30, 2016 and set an
objective to adjust the quality and security of electricity
supply.
In
February 2016, the Argentine Government reviewed the schedule
of electricity and gas tariffs and eliminated the subsidies of
these public services, which would have resulted in increases of
500% or more in energy costs, except for low-income consumers. By
correcting tariffs, modifying the regulatory framework and reducing
the Argentine Government’s participation in the energy
sector, the Argentine Government sought to correct distortions in
the energy sector and make the necessary investments. In
July 2016, a federal court in the city of La Plata suspended
the increase in the gas tariff throughout the Province of Buenos
Aires. On August 3, 2016, a federal court in San Mart’n
suspended the increase in gas tariffs throughout the country until
a public hearing was held to discuss the rate increase. The
judgment was appealed to the Supreme Court, and on August 18,
2016, the Supreme Court ruled that the increase in the gas tariff
of residential users could not be imposed without a public hearing.
On September 16, 2016, the public hearing was held where it
was agreed that the gas tariff would increase by approximately 200%
in October 2016, with biannual increases through
2019.
As for
other services, including electricity, a public hearing was held on
October 28, 2016 to consider a proposed 31% tariff increase
sought by energy distributors. Subsequently, the Argentine
Government announced increases in electricity rates of between 60%
and 148%. On March 31, 2017, the Ministry of Energy and Mining
published a new tariff schedule with increases of approximately 24%
for supply of natural gas by networks that had been partially
regulated since April 1, 2017In addition, on November 17,
2017, a public hearing convened by the Minister of Energy and
Mining was held to update the tariff schedule for natural gas and
electricity. The new tariff schedule foresees a gradual reduction
of subsidies, resulting in an increase, between December 2017
and February 2018, between 34% and 57% (depending on the
province) for natural gas and 34% for electricity. In addition, on
May 31, 2018, the Argentine Congress approved a law seeking to
limit the increase in energy tariffs implemented by the Macri
administration, which was subsequently vetoed by President Macri.
On August 1, 2018, pursuant Resolution No. 208/2018 of the National
Electricity Regulatory Board (ENRE), the Ministry of Energy
published a new tariff schedule with increases in electricity
rates.
Changes
change in energy regulatory framework and the establishment of
increased tariffs for the supply of gas and electricity could
affect our cost structure and increase operating and public service
costs. Moreover, the significant increase in the cost of energy in
Argentina, could have an adverse effect on the Argentine economy,
and therefore, on our business, financial condition and results of
operations.
Failure to adequately address actual and perceived risks of
institutional deterioration and corruption may adversely affect the
Argentine economy and financial condition, which in turn could
adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of
operations.
The
lack of a solid institutional framework and the notorious incidents
of corruption that have been identified as a significant problem
for Argentina. In Transparency International’s Corruption
Perceptions Index survey, Argentina ranked 85 out of 180 in 2017,
95 out of 167 in 2016 and 106 out of 167 countries in 2015. In the
World Bank’s “Doing Business 2017” report,
Argentina ranked 116 out of 190 countries.
Recognizing
that the failure to address these issues could increase the risk of
political instability, distort decision-making processes and
adversely affect Argentina’s international reputation and its
ability to attract foreign investment, the Macri administration
announced various measures aimed at strengthening Argentina’s
institutions and reducing corruption. These measures include the
signing of collaboration agreements with with the judicial Branch
in corruption investigation, greater access to public information,
the seizure of assets of officials prosecuted for corruption, the
increase of the powers of the Argentine Anti-Corruption Office and
the approval of a new public ethics law, among others. The
Argentine Government’s ability to implement these initiatives
remains uncertain since it would require the participation of the
judiciary as well as the support of opposition legislators. We
cannot guarantee that the implementation of these measures will be
successful.
As of
the date of this annual report, a large-scale corruption
investigation in Argentina has been announced by the Argentine
government. The investigation related to a decade’s worth of
payments to government officials from businessmen who had been
awarded large government contracts. Since the scandal became
public, Argentine
authorities have raided high-profile businesses, and President
Macri stated that he hoped the case would be a watershed moment in
the fight against corruption in Argentina.