
What Happened?
Shares of renewable energy and infrastructure solutions provider Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ: ROCK) fell 18.3% in the afternoon session after the company announced its preliminary fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results would fall short of previous guidance.
Gibraltar estimated its full-year 2025 revenue would be between $1.128 billion and $1.138 billion, down from its prior forecast of $1.150 billion to $1.175 billion. Similarly, adjusted earnings per share were expected to land between $3.88 and $3.93, missing the earlier projection of $4.20 to $4.30. The company pointed to a few issues for the shortfall, including a slower-than-expected market, the timing of price increases, and a shift in large projects in its Agtech segment. The fourth quarter was also weak, with expected net sales of $261 million to $271 million, which was below the previous guidance of $283 million to $308 million. The outlook revision signaled that the company faced broad challenges.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Gibraltar’s shares are quite volatile and have had 17 moves greater than 5% over the last year. But moves this big are rare even for Gibraltar and indicate this news significantly impacted the market’s perception of the business.
The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 11 months ago when the stock gained 19.4% on the news that the company reported impressive fourth-quarter results and provided optimistic full-year revenue, EPS, and EBITDA guidance, which beat analysts' expectations. Despite an 8.1% decline in sales, earnings outperformed significantly during the quarter, as margins improved in the Agtech and Infrastructure segments. Notably, the underwhelming sales growth was due to softness in the Residential and Renewables segments, where demand remained weak. Still, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations.
Gibraltar is down 10.2% since the beginning of the year, and at $45.02 per share, it is trading 39.6% below its 52-week high of $74.58 from October 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Gibraltar’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $472.81.
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